Apr 9, 2020

COVID-19 Update

Growth Rates
Cases:
1.03 - World
1.08 - USA

Dead:
1.08 - World
1.15 - USA



Optimism about flattening the curve, or slowing the acceleration (or whatever terminology applies) may be a little premature.

When I look back over the last several days, I can see that the date on which we can expect to hit 100,00 dead Americans is not receding very quickly - it is receding, but it's taking its own sweet time about it.

On April 3rd, the projected date for 100K dead was April 20th. 6 days later, today's calculation puts that date at April 23rd.

I don't know what that means - or even if it means anything.

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