Slouching Towards Oblivion

Sunday, August 02, 2020

COVID-19 Update

"Conservatives" like to cherry-pick a number they think illustrates the no-big-deal-ness of COVID-19. They say the chances of dying from this thing are ridiculously low - about 1%.

And while, overall, they're right about that, there are three basic problems.

  1. That 1% is 100 times worse than the worse flu season we've had in 100 years.
  2. If you're infected, and it turns out you're one of the unlucky bastards who gets a severe case, the death rate isn't 1% - it's more like 10-20%, and that could easily be the low end because there are lotsa folks who get sick and die at home without hospital care, and so they don't show up in the numbers.
  3. If you don't do the Mask-Distance-Hygiene thing, then you're increasing your chance of getting really sick by orders of magnitude.
And as always, it's about the outcomes overall. 6% of all cases that have been resolved resulted in the death of the patient.


6-fucking-percent


The coronavirus is spreading at dangerous levels across much of the United States, and public health experts are demanding a dramatic reset in the national response, one that recognizes that the crisis is intensifying and that current piecemeal strategies aren’t working.

This is a new phase of the pandemic, one no longer built around local or regional clusters and hot spots. It comes at an unnerving moment in which the economy suffered its worst collapse since the Great Depression, schools are rapidly canceling plans for in-person instruction and Congress has failed to pass a new emergency relief package. President Trump continues to promote fringe science, the daily death toll keeps climbing and the human cost of the virus in America has just passed 150,000 lives.

“Unlike many countries in the world, the United States is not currently on course to get control of this epidemic. It’s time to reset,” declared a report released this week by Johns Hopkins University.


The rest of the piece gets even more depressing and frightening.




Dead Americans by Election Day = 311,000
Dead Americans by Year's End    = 484,000

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