And if you get infected, and the disease takes hold, the odds are still pretty big in your favor, with only about 1% of patients being reported in Serious or Critical condition, which is huge improvement over what they were predicting 6 months ago (upwards of 15-20%).
I haven't been able to get a good lock on where we are in terms of Infection Rate. ie: as we test people, the percentage of those testing positive gives us a fair idea of whether or not the disease is spreading, and how fast. Since we don't have a national strategy in place - and because we aren't doing all that much testing of the general population - it's hard to pin it down.
My "Growth Rate" is a simplistic thing, and while it's OK for a kind of broad strokes picture, it isn't meant to be anything particularly precise.
Suffice to say the thing is still spreading - I just don't know how to gauge it properly.
USA
- New Cases: 53,629
- New Deaths: 895
WHO warns 2 million deaths ‘not impossible’ as global fatalities approach 1 million
With the world fast approaching 1 million deaths officially related to covid-19, a doubling of that number is “certainly unimaginable, but it’s not impossible,” World Health Organization expert Mike Ryan said Friday at a news briefing.
“If we look at losing 1 million people in nine months and then we just look at the realities of getting vaccines out there in the next nine months, it’s a big task for everyone involved,” Ryan, the executive director of WHO’s health emergencies program, said.
Other Stuff
- Trump has repeatedly said a vaccine would be available by Election Day, or possibly sooner, worrying scientists that he might attempt to intervene in the review process.
- Fewer than 1 in 10 Americans showed signs of past infection with the novel coronavirus as of late July, suggesting that most of the country may still be vulnerable to infection, according to one of the largest studies of its kind published Friday in the journal The Lancet.
- A “large proportion” of the U.S. population will not be vaccinated against the novel coronavirus this year, Anthony S. Fauci, the country’s top infectious-disease expert, said during a Facebook Live event Thursday.
- Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam and his wife, Pamela, tested positive for the coronavirus, the governor’s office announced Friday.
- Sudan has been hit by record-breaking rains and floods that have displaced hundreds of thousands of people and complicated efforts to contain the novel coronavirus, alongside preexisting crises such as a polio outbreak and armed conflicts.
- Data shows that only about 100 children and teenagers have died of covid-19 in the United States, a fatality rate that is drawing wonder from clinicians and increasing interest among researchers hoping to understand why.
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