From 538 Today

Same as always - Don't get happy. Get back to work.

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball has it about the same, although they haven't shown the same movement in Iowa and Ohio.

And don't forget to follow the money:

Trump campaign is canceling hundreds of thousands of dollars in advertising in Fla, NC, OH, possibly other states, per two buying sources.

— Maggie Haberman (@maggieNYT) October 7, 2016