The Race Is On

So Trump won in Iowa yesterday, and for the most part, the reaction has been a mix of:

• Yeah, so what? He'll be in prison by Labor Day, and then I'll have the excuse I need to stop acting so stupid
• I'm not goin' out there in this weather
• Of course Trump won - it's rigged
• Yay - Trump's still popular, so I'm still popular by proxy

Trump won in all but 1 county, and even though DeSantis took 2nd overall, Haley finished 2nd in 20 counties, winning outright in Johnson County of them (something DeSantis didn't manage).

The campaigns spent $123 million on this thing, which works out to almost $1,150 per vote.

11% of all Iowa Republicans, including almost half of Haley voters, say they'll vote for Joe Biden if Trump is the nominee.

There's nothing that sats we can extrapolate that across the board to show Biden's got the edge, but it might be helpful to keep it mind as we try to decipher polling (which is IMO pretty fucked up to begin with).

Anyway - no matter what - get out and vote dammit.