Don't ever let me hear you say the Dems can't get some shit done.
Democrats in Congress have had to scale back their legislative ambitions since last year, but the Inflation Reduction Act, passed by the House on Friday and sent to President Joseph R. Biden Jr. for his signature, is still a substantial piece of legislation, which will make big investments in the environment and health care, and increase taxes on some key groups.
NYT: (pay wall)
Democrats in Congress have had to scale back their legislative ambitions since last year, but the Inflation Reduction Act, passed by the House on Friday and sent to President Joseph R. Biden Jr. for his signature, is still a substantial piece of legislation, which will make big investments in the environment and health care, and increase taxes on some key groups.
Spending & Tax Cuts: $490 billion
Savings & New Revenue: $764 billion
- Medicare prescription drug benefit $34.2 million
- Affordable Care Act subsidies $64.1 billion
- Wind and solar tax credits $51.1 million
- Nuclear energy credit $30 million
- Indiv. green energy credits $36.9 million
- Clean manufacturing $37.4 million
- Clean electricity credits $62.7 million
- Agricultural conservation $16.7 million
- “Green bank” $20 million
- 15% corporate minimum tax $222.2 million
- I.R.S. enforcement $124.1 million
- Repeal regulation on drug rebates $122.2 million
- Drug price negotiation* $99 million
- Stock buyback tax $73.7 million
- Limits on drug price increases* $62.3 million
- Extend active loss tax limitation $52.8 million
- Medicare prescription drug benefit $34.2 million
- Affordable Care Act subsidies $64.1 billion
- Wind and solar tax credits $51.1 billion
- Nuclear energy credit $30 million
- Indiv. green energy credits $36.9million
- Clean manufacturing $37.4million
- Clean electricity credits $62.7million
- Agricultural conservation $16.7million
- “Green bank” $20million
- 15% corporate minimum tax $222.2 billion
- I.R.S. enforcement $124.1 million
- Repeal regulation on drug rebates $122.2million
- Drug price negotiation* $99million
- Stock buyback tax $73.7 million
- Limits on drug price increases* $62.3million
- Extend active loss tax limitation $52.8 million
It would also raise taxes on some corporations and bolster the ability of the Internal Revenue Service to crack down on wealthy tax evaders. It would lower the federal deficit, though modestly.
The bill includes last-minute changes requested by Senator Kyrsten Sinema, Democrat of Arizona, the final holdout among her party’s 50 senators. Democratic leaders agreed to remove a tax on some wealthy hedge fund managers and private equity executives, and to include $4 billion in drought funding for her state.
What’s in the Inflation Reduction Act
Figures are in billions and over 10 years.
Spending and tax cuts: $490 billion
Savings and new revenue: $764 billion
*These are rough estimates because of changes to the drug price provisions in the bill after cost and savings estimates were released. Savings from the drug price negotiation policy may end up being lower, and the savings from limits on drug price increases are unofficial estimates based on an analysis by Don Schneider, a former chief economist of the House Ways and Means Committee.
But if the current bill includes a lot — in spending, new taxes and policies — it also omits a lot of the Democrats’ original ambitions. Missing is an entire set of family policies that were in a bill passed by the House last year, like a generous child tax credit and paid family leave.
Certain health policies, such as an expansion of Medicaid to give more low-income adults health insurance, have been removed to pare down the bill’s cost. And though the climate policies are the most expansive passed by any Congress, they are more modest than those included in earlier versions of the legislation.
The current bill includes clean electricity incentives that are comparable in size to those in a version passed by the House last year. But it scales back spending in almost every other category, from transportation to climate resilience. Some proposed investments from earlier versions — like those for lead remediation, work force development such as a Civilian Climate Corps, and electric bicycle tax credits — did not make it into the new text. The one major exception is manufacturing: Compared with previous versions of the bill, this legislation marks a significant increase in grants, loans and tax credits to manufacture clean energy technology domestically.
But it also pairs new climate spending with several major concessions to the fossil fuel industry at the request of Senator Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, whose support was necessary to advance the bill.
Here’s how the legislation compares with the much larger social safety net and climate bill passed by the House in November, often referred to as Build Back Better.
How the Bill Compares With Build Back Better
Figures are in billions and over 10 years
Energy and climate | ||
---|---|---|
Tax credits and new spending | $392 | $570 |
Health care | ||
---|---|---|
Home health care through Medicaid | — | $150 |
Expanded subsidies for Affordable Care Act health insurance | $64 | $130 |
New Medicare hearing benefit | — | $35 |
Increased generosity in Medicare's prescription drug benefit | $34 | — |
Health care work force spending | — | $25 |
Family benefits | ||
---|---|---|
New child care program (6 years) | — | $270 |
Four weeks of annual federal paid family and medical leave | — | $205 |
Universal preschool for 3- and 4-year-olds (6 years) | — | $110 |
Individual tax cuts | ||
---|---|---|
Child tax credit increase for one year; fully refundable after 2022 | — | $190 |
Expanded earned-income tax credit extended for one year | — | $15 |
Other tax changes | — | $10 |
Other | ||
---|---|---|
Build and support affordable housing | — | $175 |
Immigration reform | — | $110 |
Other spending | — | $115 |
Higher education and work force | — | $40 |
Total | $490 billion | $2.15 trillion |
---|
Health care | ||
---|---|---|
Negotiation of certain drug prices and limit price increases* | $162 | $160 |
Repeal a regulation on prescription drug rebates | $122 | $145 |
Adjustments to uncompensated care pools | — | $20 |
Corporate taxes | ||
---|---|---|
15% corporate minimum tax | $222 | $320 |
Stock buyback tax | $74 | $125 |
15 percent global minimum tax and international taxation reforms | — | $280 |
Other | — | $105 |
Individual taxes | ||
---|---|---|
Expand the net investment income tax | — | $250 |
Surtax on income above $10 million | — | $230 |
Extension of limits on excess losses of noncorporate taxpayers | $53 | $160 |
Increase state and local tax deduction cap through 2025 | — | $15 |
Other revenue | ||
---|---|---|
I.R.S. enforcement | $124 | $130 |
Methane fee, Superfund fee and other revenue | $18 | $50 |
Total | $775 billion | $2 trillion |
---|
*The figure for the Inflation Reduction Act is a rough estimate because of changes to the drug price provisions in the bill after cost and savings estimates were released. Savings from the drug price negotiation policy may end up being lower, and the savings from limits on drug price increases are unofficial estimates based on an analysis by Don Schneider, a former chief economist of the House Ways and Means Committee.
The Inflation Reduction Act is projected to reduce deficits by roughly $275 billion over 10 years, while the Build Back Better plan passed by the House would have added about $160 billion to deficits.
Democrats have said the new bill’s deficit reduction, as well as the provisions aimed at lowering energy and prescription drug costs, will help address the rapid inflation over the past year. Many economists, including supporters of the bill, have said that while it may reduce price pressures, the overall effect is likely to be modest, and over the long term.
The promise of taming inflation helped bring Mr. Manchin on board, who cited concerns about rising prices when he pulled his support from the bill passed by the House last year.
In a statement last month after an agreement on a new bill had been made with Democratic leadership, Mr. Manchin announced, “Build Back Better is dead, and instead we have the opportunity to make our country stronger by bringing Americans together.”
The fact that we had to carve off an awful lot of meat that could help an awful lot of people should tell us we have to send more Dems to Washington to help Biden & Co get the rest of what we need.
If we do that, we could be flyin' this time next year.
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