Sep 3, 2021

Today's Tweet



Today is the first day of the rest of your dystopian future.

On Facebook

When we get busy blaming "the media", let's be clear - and inclusive: Who all we talkin' 'bout here?


My Facebook feed has changed dramatically just over the last year or so. That could be at least partly due to people dropping out of the thing because it's turned into such a fuckin' cess pit, but I think it has plenty to do with the massive increase in the volume of targeted advertising, and the even more annoying attempts to push me into adding friends - people I don't know from Adam's off ox.

Anyway, somebody threw a study into it, and gee, what a whole big buncha surprises they came up with.

WaPo: (pay wall)

Misinformation on Facebook got six times more clicks than factual news during the 2020 election, study says

Right-leaning pages also produce more misinformation, the forthcoming study found.


A new study of user behavior on Facebook around the 2020 election is likely to bolster critics’ long-standing arguments that the company’s algorithms fuel the spread of misinformation over more trustworthy sources.

The forthcoming peer-reviewed study by researchers at New York University and the Université Grenoble Alpes in France has found that from August 2020 to January 2021, news publishers known for putting out misinformation got six times the amount of likes, shares, and interactions on the platform as did trustworthy news sources, such as CNN or the World Health Organization.

Ever since “fake news” on Facebook became a public concern following the 2016 presidential election, publishers who traffic in misinformation have been repeatedly shown to be able to gain major audiences on the platform. But the NYU study is one of the few comprehensive attempts to measure and isolate the misinformation effect across a wide group of publishers on Facebook, experts said, and its conclusions support the criticism that Facebook’s platform rewards publishers that put out misleading accounts.

The study “helps add to the growing body of evidence that, despite a variety of mitigation efforts, misinformation has found a comfortable home — and an engaged audience — on Facebook,” said Rebekah Tromble, director of the Institute for Data, Democracy and Politics at George Washington University, who reviewed the study’s findings.

In response, Facebook said that the report measured the number of people who engage with content, but that is not a measure of the number of people that actually view it (Facebook does not make the latter number, called impressions, publicly available to researchers).

“This report looks mostly at how people engage with content, which should not be confused with how many people actually see it on Facebook,” said Facebook spokesman Joe Osborne. "When you look at the content that gets the most reach across Facebook, it is not at all like what this study suggests.”

He added that the company has 80 fact checking partners covering over 60 languages that work to label and reduce the distribution of false information.

The study’s authors relied on categorizations from two nonprofit organizations that study misinformation, NewsGuard and Media Bias/Fact Check. Both groups have categorized thousands of Facebook publishers by their political leanings, ranging from far left to far right, and by their propensity to share trustworthy or untrustworthy news. The team then took 2,551 of these pages and compared the interactions on posts on pages by publishers known for misinformation, such as the left-leaning Occupy Democrats and the right-leaning Dan Bongino and Breitbart, to interactions on posts from factual publishers.

The researchers also found that the statistically significant misinformation boost is politically neutral — misinformation-trafficking pages on both the far left and the far right generated much more engagement from Facebook users than factual pages of any political slant. But publishers on the right have a much higher propensity to share misleading information than publishers in other political categories, the study found. The latter finding echoes the conclusions of other researchers, as well as Facebook’s own internal findings ahead of the 2018 midterm elections, according to Washington Post reporting.


Occupy Democrats, Bongino and Breitbart did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Facebook’s critics have long charged that misleading, inflammatory content that often reinforces the viewpoints of its viewers generates significantly more attention and clicks than mainstream news.

That claim — which has been reiterated by members of Congress as well as by Silicon Valley engineers in films such as “The Social Dilemma” — had gained significant traction during the pandemic. Conspiracy theories about covid-19 and vaccines, along with misleading information about treatments and cures, have gone viral, and may have influenced the views of large numbers of Americans. A recent survey by the COVID States Project found that U.S. Facebook users were less likely to be vaccinated any other type of news consumer, even consumers of right-leaning Fox News.

President Biden upped the ante in July when he said covid-related misinformation on platforms such as Facebook was “killing people,” a comment he later walked back.

But there has been little hard data to back up the assertions about the harm caused by Facebook’s algorithms, in part because Facebook has limited the data that researchers can access, Tromble said.

In 2018, an MIT study of misleading stories on Twitter — a platform whose content, unlike Facebook’s, is largely public — found that they performed better among Twitter users than factual stories. Other studies have found that engagement with misinformation is not as widespread as people might think, and that the people who consume and spread misinformation tend to be small numbers of highly motivated partisans.


Facebook is also increasingly restricting access to outside groups that make attempts to mine the company’s data. In the past several months, the White House has repeatedly asked Facebook for information about the extent of covid misinformation on the platform, but the company did not provide it.

One of the researchers Facebook has clamped down on was the NYU researcher, Laura Edelson, who conducted the study. The company cut off Edelson and her colleagues’ accounts last month, arguing that her data collection — which relied on users voluntarily downloading a software widget that allows researchers to track the ads that they see — put Facebook potentially in violation of a 2019 U.S. Federal Trade Commission privacy settlement.

The commission, in a rare rebuttal, shot back that the settlement makes exceptions for researchers and that Facebook should not use it as an excuse to deny the public the ability to understand people’s behavior on social networks.

Edelson noted that because Facebook stopped her project, called the NYU Ad Observatory, last month, she would not be able to continue to study the reach and impact of misinformation on the platform.

In response to criticism that it is becoming less transparent, Facebook recently published a new transparency report that shows the most popular content on the platform every quarter. But the report is highly curated, and Facebook censored an earlier version of the report out of concerns that it would generate bad press, according to a person familiar with the discussions who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe sensitive conversations. That led critics to argue that the company was not being transparent.

One of the reasons it is hard to tell how much exposure people have to misinformation on Facebook in particular is because so much content is shared in private groups, Tromble said.


To conduct the study, Edelson’s team used a Facebook-owned business analytics tool called CrowdTangle to conduct the analysis. The tool is often used by journalists and researchers to track the popularity of posts. But CrowdTangle has limitations as well: The tool shares how many likes and shares a particular post received, but does not disclose what are known as impressions, or how many people saw the post.

Edelson said the study showed that Facebook algorithms were not rewarding partisanship or bias, or favoring sites on one side of the political spectrum, as some critics have claimed. She said that Facebook amplifies misinformation because it does well with users, and the sites that happen to have more misinformation are on the right. Among publishers categorized as on the far right, those that share misinformation get a majority — or 68 percent — of all engagement from users.

COVID-19 Update

And right on schedule, here comes Mu.


A coronavirus variant known as mu — which was designated by the World Health Organization as a “variant of interest” earlier this week — is not an “immediate threat” to the United States, according to Anthony S. Fauci, the country’s top infectious-disease expert.

Fauci told a news briefing Thursday that the variant was “not at all even close to being dominant,” as the delta variant remains the cause of over 99 percent of cases in the country. But he added, “We’re keeping a very close eye on it.”

The WHO says the mu variant has “a constellation of mutations that indicate potential properties of immune escape.” But it says further studies are needed to find out whether the variant reported in the United States, Japan, Ecuador and parts of Europe will be resistant to coronavirus vaccines.

As the United States is expected to roll out coronavirus booster shots later this month, pending reviews by federal health agencies, Fauci also said he would not be surprised if three shots — not two — become the new standard for someone to be considered fully vaccinated.







Sep 2, 2021

Projecting COVID Deaths

If yesterday's numbers hold:

Projecting out the number of Deaths using the difference between yesterday's 7 Day Avg and today's 7 Day Avg, it pushes the date back less a month - we still hit 700,000 dead Americans before Halloween.

Today's Tweet



The Daddy State -
Texghanistan

About That McQarthy Guy


Kevin McQarthy is as close to being a two-faced, cynically manipulative ass as anybody's ever been.

We know he's playing Trump's Mini Me every chance he gets, which means this latest little emotional outburst is probably about 90% bluff-n-bluster.

But he's becoming more vehement at every turn. So we have to stop a minute and make our calculations:
  1. Does he think he's genuinely at risk?
  2. How serious can he be about this when his future in elected office depends on support from the people he's threatening?
  3. How far is he willing to go if he really believes he has the stroke to extort those corporate supporters?
  4. He's a toothless tiger right now, but is he as rightly confidant of gaining the power to punish them as he seems to be, or is it just the usual Trumpian High School Fuckaraound?
  5. Is he just playing both ends from the middle? (he should have some popular support because he knows the rubes hate the big tech companies - just as they've been conditioned to do by him and other Trumpublicans - and so he's using that as leverage against the big guys)
Pretty fuckin' sick of this shit.

WaPo: (pay wall)

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) is threatening telecommunications and social media companies that comply with a request by the committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol by a pro-Trump mob, declaring that Republicans “will not forget” their actions.

McCarthy spoke with then-President Donald Trump on the day of the attack and is a potential witness in the select committee’s probe.

The panel on Monday asked 35 companies to retain phone records and other information related to the attack as it ramps up its investigation ahead of the return of Congress next month. Several of the companies indicated this week that they intend to comply with the panel’s requests, while only one so far has publicly said it will not do so.

“Adam Schiff, Bennie Thompson, and Nancy Pelosi’s attempts to strong-arm private companies to turn over individuals’ private data would put every American with a phone or computer in the crosshairs of a surveillance state run by Democrat politicians,” McCarthy said in a statement Tuesday night, referring to the chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, the chairman of the select committee and the House speaker.

“If these companies comply with the Democrat order to turn over private information, they are in violation of federal law and subject to losing their ability to operate in the United States,” McCarthy said. “If companies still choose to violate federal law, a Republican majority will not forget and will stand with Americans to hold them fully accountable under the law.”

It is not clear what law McCarthy is asserting the companies would be breaking if they comply with the panel’s request. McCarthy’s office did not immediately respond to a request for comment Wednesday.

Tim Mulvey, a spokesman for the select committee, said Wednesday that the panel “won’t be deterred by those who want to whitewash or cover up the events of January 6th, or obstruct our investigation.”

“The Select Committee is investigating the violent attack on the Capitol and attempt to overturn the results of last year’s election,” Mulvey said in a statement. “We’ve asked companies not to destroy records that may help answer questions for the American people.”

Mike Stern, a former lawyer for the nonpartisan House counsel office, said there are probably laws that bar phone carriers and other companies from turning over records voluntarily. But if a subpoena is issued those companies would be legally obligated to respond.

“Even if there is arguably a competing legal obligation or privilege that might trump the subpoena, I know of no principle that requires any subpoena recipient to risk contempt in order to protect the interests of their customers,” Stern said.

Some Democratic lawmakers and legal experts, meanwhile, accused McCarthy on Wednesday of trying to obstruct justice by threatening the companies.

“Every day we enter new uncharted territory,” Rep. Bill Pascrell Jr. (D-N.J.) said in a statement. “Last night, the House Republican Leader openly threatened subpoenaed parties to undermine and impede the historic probe into January 6. His threats are treasonous.”

Norman Eisen, former White House ethics counsel in the Obama administration, argued that McCarthy’s action “meets the elements of obstruction.”

“It’s Orwellian. If these telecom companies fail to comply with the requirement to preserve these records, if they did what Kevin McCarthy wants … that would be a violation of law,” Eisen, the executive chairman of the States United Democracy Center and a senior fellow at Brookings, said during an interview on CNN.

“So this is absolutely unjustified by law, and it raises serious questions under the House ethics rules and other laws for Kevin McCarthy himself.”

In June, House Speaker Pelosi announced the formation of a select committee to investigate the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol after Senate Republicans blocked an effort to form an independent, bipartisan commission. McCarthy opposed both the bipartisan commission and the select committee.

The panel is charged with investigating the facts and causes of the insurrection and will provide recommendations to help prevent similar attacks in the future.

The select committee’s chairman, Rep. Bennie G. Thompson (D-Miss.), recently said his panel would not shy away from investigating lawmakers as part of its inquiry, highlighting the remarkable nature of Congress investigating an attack on itself.

The committee’s plans have drawn criticism from Republicans, most of whom have opposed investigating the insurrection and Trump’s role in inspiring the mob with his false claims about Joe Biden’s win in the 2020 election.

The request that went out Monday was sent to tech and social media companies including Facebook, Google, Microsoft, Twitter and Signal, as well as telecommunications companies including Verizon Wireless, AT&T, Sprint and T-Mobile.

The panel is asking the 35 companies to preserve “metadata, subscriber information, technical usage information, and content of communications for the listed individuals.”

In its letters to the companies, the committee asked for the preservation of material from individuals who were “involved in organizing, funding, or speaking” at January’s “Stop the Steal” rallies, as well as individuals who were “potentially involved with discussions of plans to challenge, delay, or interfere” with the electoral certification process.

In recent days, some of the companies have indicated that they intend to comply with the panel’s requests, including social media platform Reddit and Snap, owner of the video-sharing platform Snapchat.

Reddit spokesperson Cameron Njaa said in an emailed statement to The Washington Post that company executives have “received the letter in question and are fully cooperating with the Committee on this matter.” Snap spokesperson Rachel Racusen said its leaders “plan to comply” with the requests. In an emailed statement sent by a communications firm representing the Discord instant messaging platform, chief legal officer Clint Smith said the company’s executives “intend to cooperate fully as appropriate.”

Other companies, including Facebook and Google, said they plan to work with the committee but would not say whether they will comply specifically with the recent requests.

Ivy Choi, a spokesperson for Google, which also owns YouTube, said they “have received the Select Committee’s letter and are committed to working with Congress on this.”

“The events of January 6 were unprecedented and tragic, and Google and YouTube strongly condemn them,” Choi said. “We’re committed to protecting our platforms from abuse, including by rigorously enforcing our policies for content related to the events of January 6.”

Facebook spokesperson Andy Stone said in a statement, “We have received the request and look forward to continuing to work with the committee.”

Rumble, a YouTube rival popular with conservative influencers, said the company “complies with all valid law enforcement and investigative requests,” but it did not say whether it considers the committee’s requests as such, nor whether it will comply with them.

Only one company appears to have publicly indicated it will reject the committee’s request so far. A spokesperson for the Switzerland-based Proton Technologies, the parent company behind the encrypted email service ProtonMail, said it could not comply with the request due to Swiss blocking laws that restrict the sharing of evidence from the country with foreign authorities.

“Our use of zero-access encryption means that we do not have access to the message content being requested,” U.S. communications manager Matt Fossen said in a statement to The Post.

Under Swiss law, Fossen said, “it is also illegal for us to share data with U.S. authorities so we would be unable to comply without breaking Swiss law.”

Spokesmen for Amazon, Microsoft and Twitter declined to comment. Spokesmen for Apple, Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile, TikTok, Slack, MeWe, 4chan, Signal, Parler, and Twitch did not respond to requests for comment Tuesday and early Wednesday about the panel’s requests and McCarthy’s remarks. Amazon founder Jeff Bezos owns The Washington Post.

McCarthy and Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) have been the recent subjects of questions about which members could be called to appear before the select committee.

Earlier this year, Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler (R-Wash.) described what McCarthy told her about a phone call he had with Trump on Jan. 6 in which he asked the president to help calm supporters who had broken into the Capitol.

“When McCarthy finally reached the president on January 6 and asked him to publicly and forcefully call off the riot, the president initially repeated the falsehood that it was antifa that had breached the Capitol,” Herrera Beutler said in a statement in February, referring a to a loosely knit group of far-left activists.

“McCarthy refuted that and told the president that these were Trump supporters. That’s when, according to McCarthy, the president said: ‘Well, Kevin, I guess these people are more upset about the election than you are.’”

COVID-19 Update


But Republicans in Texghanistan decided they'd rather fuck people outa their rights. Cuz it's more fun(?) And they're getting really good at it.






We have lots to do.


Those who are not fully vaccinated against covid-19 should avoid travel over the upcoming holiday weekend, said Rochelle Walensky, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

“First and foremost, if you are unvaccinated, we would recommend not traveling,” she said in response to a question at a White House briefing Tuesday.

That has long been the position of the agency, which recommends that people delay domestic travel and not travel internationally until they are fully vaccinated. Walensky reiterated the guidance that people who are fully vaccinated, and wearing masks, can travel — but she added a caveat.

“Although given where we are with disease transmission right now, we would say that people need to take these risks into their own consideration as they think about traveling,” she said.

Walensky noted that even vaccinated people should wear masks in public indoor settings and that gathering outdoors with others who are vaccinated will help prevent transmission.

She did suggest one type of local trip for unvaccinated Americans.

“Talk with family and friends who are still unvaccinated about the benefits of the vaccine and consider taking them to get vaccinated over the long holiday weekend,” she said.

Making His Point

Somewhere out there, people just like us are starting to let these asshole "conservatives" know that open-minded tolerance goes only so far, and that we're getting pretty fuckin' tired of their shit.

Today's Reddit

 


This should be an option for all close encounters of the macho kind.

Today's Quote

Morning Toilette - Jean-Frédéric Schall

“Let someone love you the way you are - as flawed as you might be, as unattractive as you sometimes feel, and as unaccomplished as you think you are. To believe that you must hide all the parts of you that are broken, out of fear that someone else is incapable of loving what is less than perfect, is to believe that sunlight is incapable of entering a broken window and illuminating a dark room.”
Mark Hack