Jan 14, 2024

Better But Not Good Yet

The "conservative" attack on education over the last 40 years is having the desired effect. People don't care much about things like politics and government and economics because they're not being taught the importance of knowing something about that stuff to begin with, and once they get out into the real world, they're so tied up trying to make their lives work they get frustrated and start looking for somebody to blame, and that makes them vulnerable to the constant flow of propaganda flowing from "the right" (mostly).

And it'd be so gosh darned nice if the Press Poodles would remember to include corporate profits in the calculations of how shittily people are being treated, and how our attitudes are being cynically manipulated so we blame all the wrong people for all the wrong things.


Corporate America has blown past a brief wobble to its bottom line.

Driving the news:
The latest numbers from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, out Wednesday, showed that total corporate profits in the third quarter grew 3.3% to an annualized rate of $3.28 trillion.

That's just shy of the all-time peak of $3.3 trillion reached in Q3 2022.

Why it matters:
The rise in profits last quarter shows that U.S. companies have been able to adjust to the post-COVID operating environment, which includes higher wages and higher borrowing costs.



So of course corporate critters are doing just fine


But then we have to remember: "The news" is a corporate profit center, so the "coverage" might be just a tiny bit skewed.


‘Excess profits’ at big energy and consumer companies pushed up inflation, report claims

KEY POINTS
  • New research argues that the impact of companies maintaining margins by passing on higher prices to consumers should not be overlooked as a contributing factor to inflation.
  • Researchers say this has made inflation “peak higher and remain more persistent.”
  • They note that corporate profits are not the sole cause of inflation and did not cause shocks such as that to the energy market, but note that big international energy and food firms have an outsized influence on the wider economy.


The economy is improving under Biden. But many voters aren’t giving him credit

Despite the statistics, the kitchen-table experience of Biden’s first term has meant that many voters have experienced the last few years as a time of relative economic hardship

LAS VEGAS — Near the base of the Rainbow Mountains, Daniel Busby looks up longingly at his two-story “dream” townhouse, with the sliding glass door on its second floor, the balcony that wraps around the master bedroom, the five-minute walk from his kids’ elementary school.

“I just fell in love,” said Busby, 33, doing a chef’s kiss and smacking his lips together. “And then we started doing the math.”

The gregarious fry cook has enjoyed the windfalls of pandemic economic recovery overseen by President Biden. The president’s stimulus plan gave lower-wage workers more leverage to demand higher pay from their employers, with those in the service sector — like Busby — seeing particularly robust gains.

He went from being unemployed and working part-time at $15 an hour during the pandemic to a full-time job at the Paris Hotel, mostly at the Martha Stewart franchise, earning $19 an hour preparing a risotto dish and, his favorite, the whole chicken dinner. Busby and his wife now make a combined salary of just under six figures — a previously unimaginable sum.

But the gains have not kept up with rising costs, and that has become a major issue for voters like him. When Biden took the oath of office in January 2021, the average monthly mortgage payment in Las Vegas was about $1,200, according to calculations by Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. That number, for new mortgages, has soared to $2,350 today due to rising interest rates and robust housing prices — the outer edge of what Busby was willing to spend.

By many measures, the U.S. economy is a great success story — recession fears have fallen, along with gas prices and the unemployment rate, while manufacturing construction is up along with nominal wages and the stock market. The United States has grown faster since covid-19 than any peer country. Gas prices, once averaging over $5 a gallon, are now approaching $3. The Federal Reserve projects three interest rate cuts in 2024 that could help buyers like Busby.

But the kitchen-table experience of Biden’s first term — a roller coaster of covid adjustment and international shocks — has meant that many voters have experienced the last few years as a time of relative economic hardship. Despite rising wages, voters as a group lost spending power during 2021 and 2022 and have only recently climbed out of the hole. And even though wages are now outpacing inflation, prices are still continuing to rise: The latest government report showed inflation up 3.4 percent relative to the year before, fueling the anxiety even amid positive economic indicators.

A broad and diverse cross-section of American voters say they are experiencing the Biden economy as a challenging time of rising prices and high interest rates, according to interviews with more than 80 voters in four parts of the country — Las Vegas, Milwaukee, Phoenix and rural Georgia — that will play a major role in choosing the next president.

Adjusted for inflation, the per capita disposable income of U.S. residents rose nearly 1 percent from October 2021 to October 2023, a period that excludes the extraordinary one-time stimulus payments when Biden arrived, according to calculation by Robert Shapiro, a Democratic economist who advised Bill Clinton as president. By comparison, per capita disposable income, after inflation, grew about 7 percent under Donald Trump, during the first 34 months of his presidency.

The good news for Democrats is that the growth in spending power has been picking up over the last year at 3.7 percent through November, potentially setting the stage for a banner 2024, when wages will continue to grow even as the rate of inflation continues to fall.

“If incomes continue to rise rapidly over the next year, people will accept it by the election, especially since Biden’s record on jobs and growth is so much stronger,” Shapiro predicts. “Biden can overcome the fact that his income record — the growth of income — will not be strong over the whole term.”

But that is not the nation’s present-day reality. Biden’s polling on the economy has fallen with consumer confidence since he got into office, only recently stabilizing as confidence has begun to rebound. Wages are up, but the sting of higher grocery, coffee and restaurant bills remain. The president is still looking for credit from the budding manufacturing renaissance brought about by recent bipartisan legislation, though relatively few projects have been announced or begun production yet.

White House advisers are optimistic that the American public will soon internalize the good news and give the president credit before November. His political advisers note that other presidents who won reelection, like Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama, overcame challenging first-term economic conditions.

“We’re seeing real progress,” said Jared Bernstein, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, in a statement. “We have more work to do as we execute President Biden’s agenda, a sharp contrast with congressional Republicans’ plans to cut taxes for the wealthy and big corporations while raising health care and prescription drug costs for hard-working American families.”

People like Busby, who voted twice for Obama before sitting out the 2016 and 2020 elections, are not sure they will vote for Biden in 2024 — indecision that could tip the scale in a narrowly divided country. He has chosen, for the moment, to stay with his wife and two daughters, ages 10 and 6, in their 1,100-square-foot Vegas apartment, where the rent recently jumped from $1,100 to $1,600 a month.

After touring more than 30 houses, relentlessly monitoring Zillow and Redfin, and investigating all the first-time home buyer programs they could find, they have put their dream on hold.

“We work full-time hours, but we still can’t afford things. You think, ‘I work full time. I should be able to afford a house,'” he said. “I don’t want to come home one day and then realize I have to pack up and leave. It’s that sense of stability we’re missing.”

Barbers cut hair at Gee’s Clippers on Nov. 26. (Alex Wroblewski for The Washington Post)
‘It’s really hard to keep up’
Milwaukee

‘It’s really hard to keep up’

Milwaukee WI:

Ceree Huley, 75, looked around Gee’s Clippers, the Black-owned Milwaukee barber shop where he works. “This place on a Thursday would be full of people,” he said of the those years before the pandemic.

“I don’t know what the reason they’re not here. … A lot of people are going to do it to themselves,” Huley said, referring to individual haircuts. “Or are they hiding from the costs of the prices that went up 10 dollars or 5 dollars? That could be a factor too.”

After 50 years as a barber, Huley has seen his own wages go up recently but is also paying more for rent after moving to a new place. Unlike some of his customers, he doesn’t blame Biden for his economic situation.

“I don’t know why it is, it seems like the economy gets worse,” said Zontayveon Mosley, a 21-year-old warehouse supervisor, who had come in for a cut. “For the average person who’s making $45,000 to $50,000 a year, it’s really hard to keep up.”

He said he would have backed Biden in 2020, but didn’t vote. He added that he will not vote for him this year and would consider supporting Trump, citing U.S. aid to other countries and the economy.

“Like giving billions of dollars to support others, when we have people that can’t eat, we have people that can’t pay bills, it’s just insane to me,” he said. “I feel like most Black people just lean towards Democrats. But I don’t know, entering the workforce and making money, I own a home. I’ve got to worry about interest rates and all of that. I feel like Trump is a better businessman.”

A stream of Black customers provided a nuanced take on the economy under Biden as they came in and out of the barber shop — decorated with basketball hoops, framed photos of athletes and the forest green Milwaukee Bucks logo sprawled across a gymnasium-style floor, razors buzzing in the background.

Posters decorate an employee breakroom at Gee’s Clippers, a basketball-themed barbershop owned by Ceree “Gee” Huley, in Milwaukee. (Alex Wroblewski for The Washington Post)

The economy here has largely tracked national trends, with weekly wages just below the national average and a nearly identical unemployment rate. William Robinson, a 47-year-old FedEx package handler, said he ends the month with less money than he starts, and it’s “kind of more survival than living” when he goes food shopping. He supported Obama both in 2008 and 2012, but said he will not vote for either Biden or Trump in 2024, describing them as “pretty much the same.”

“You can’t set prices. Inflation, you really don’t control none of that. Really it’s all the stuff that I can’t control that’s kind of making it difficult,” said Robinson, who added that he now needs to make adjustments between wants and needs. “Everybody got their little cheat foods, you know what I’m saying? Like the little cakes outside of the nutritious stuff. You just can’t enjoy it. And even with the stuff that’s nutritious, you got to prioritize, you know?”

Charles Franklin, director of the Marquette Law School poll, said that voter views of the president and the economy “moved in tandem with objective economic indicators tolerably well up until the early 2000s.” Since then, partisanship has become more powerful and the link has begun to break.

In a recent survey, twice as many respondents said they’d heard about inflation compared with the unemployment rate. As for voters’ current perceptions of the economy, Franklin sees a combination of partisan bias and the effect of inflation on real disposable income, especially “coming after this sugar high of transfer payments in the pandemic years.”

It’s a trend that cuts both ways. Ken McClendon, a 51-year-old in the health-care-manufacturing business, said his wages have gone up but his economic situation was better before covid, given that “everything is more expensive now.”

Biden’s handling of the economy was a “little shaky,” he said, before adding, “You have to realize what he walked into.” If the election comes down to a choice between Biden and Trump?

Biden “all the way,” he said.

‘Who gets credit for a dumb idea?’

Dalton, GA:

One of Biden’s legislative triumphs can be seen through the trees 80 miles north of Atlanta along Interstate 75, a gray, low-slung roof factory of Qcells North America.

The South Korean-owned plant expanded after the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, adding 510 jobs to the growing solar industry. The panels its workers make in a 12-hour shift can produce as much solar power annually as the Hoover Dam’s peak output.

But few at the Oakwood Cafe in nearby Dalton have noticed in this conservative corner of the state, represented by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R). Dalton Mayor David Pennington (R) dismissed the government support of solar panels as the pet project of politicians, embraced both by Vice President Harris, who visited the plant in April, and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp (R).

“Who gets credit for a dumb idea?” Pennington said, laughing. “When both sides are agreeing on something, it probably proves it is a stupid idea.”

When a guy deliberately misunderstands what's going on, and he shits on the simple fact that more of his constituents are getting fairly decent jobs, we see how intellectually corrupt way too many Republicans and Libertarians have become.

Pennington says residents most often ask him what he’s doing to help address the falling test scores of the city’s students. Families tell him that their grocery bills have gone up in the last three years. Pennington said that the night before, after a governmental meeting, he and his wife went to Krystal, a regional fast food joint, and ordered burgers, fries and drinks for $23, a meal he remembers costing $12 five years ago.

At a nearby table, Eric Azua, a local Realtor and registered Republican, made the same point: He has benefited himself from the Qcells expansion. He said he has sold homes to workers who are able to afford more given higher wages, offering Azua better commissions. But he credits local officials for the new jobs, rather than the Biden administration. Like many others in the area, Azua plans to vote for Trump.

“He needs to be replaced,” he said of Biden.

In 2018, Trump’s steep tariffs on solar panels from China prompted Qcells to build the facility in Dalton. Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act — including a provision by Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) — provided tax credits for every stage of the solar manufacturing supply chain, incentivizing Qcells to expand.

Such expansions of U.S. manufacturing have been happening around the country in recent years, spurred by federal incentives supported by Biden. Monthly manufacturing construction spending rose from $77 million to $207 million between January 2021 and October 2023, a jump of 170 percent, according to census data. It’s progress that Biden has highlighted in his television ads this fall, talking about new manufacturing jobs, new green energy to lower power costs.

“For Joe Biden, it’s about restoring the sense of security working people deserve,” says one Biden spot that has run in Georgia.

The industrial park near the highway that cuts through Dalton has boomed since Qcells first opened there. Beside the first Qcells facility at the site, a second sleek, brightly lit warehouse has popped up, where workers are assembling commercial and residential solar panels with the help of automated machines.

“There are not other jobs similar in the area,” said Lisa Nash, general manager of the Qcells factory. “We can take high school students, people who have made other products, and if they have an aptitude, we can train them. And it’s upskilling.”

Other jobs have come downstream. Mary Sumner, who voted for Biden in 2020, recently started working for the local janitorial company that contracts with Qcells as an extra source of income aside from her job managing an apartment complex. She knows she is part of a minority in her family of 10 and hometown that would give any credit to Biden for anything positive, including the new source of money she receives.

“Four more years and there’s even better things to come,” Sumner said.

Jan Pourquoi, a Democrat and owner of a small Dalton carpet company, attended Harris’s visit to the site. When he looked around the room, he didn’t see anyone who lived in Dalton.

His neighbors and friends tell him they are worse off financially than they were under Trump and they believe Republicans are doing more to address immigration and drugs — or at least they seem to talk about it more. In the last local election, 9 percent of registered voters cast a ballot. In 2024, Pourquoi expects there won’t be any surge of voters supporting Biden, especially for the solar initiatives.

“There are more people aware of Qcells outside this area than in this area,” he said. “What it definitely will not do is change anything on the political dial.”

‘Everything has gone up in price’

Phoenix AZ:

Martha Isela Rodriguez remembers when she would go just once a week to buy her groceries at the Fry’s right around the corner from her house.

Now, she checks her mail daily to see the weekly ads with specials and coupons for grocery stores. El Rancho Market has deals on fruits and vegetables on Wednesdays and meat on Thursdays. On the weekend, Food City tends to have some good specials, too.

For Rodriguez, it has become the norm to visit three grocery stores a week — and even then, she’s still paying more than before.

Standing in the kitchen heating tortillas on a comal, a cast-iron skillet, Rodriguez recalled how she used to pay much less for groceries when Trump was president. Everything, from the chuletas de cerdo to the jalapeños she uses for her salsa, was cheaper. And that $380 electricity bill she just paid? It had never been so high, she remarked.

For her, all these higher costs spell trouble for Biden, who she voted for and knocked on doors to get elected in 2020. Her home county of Maricopa went for Trump in 2016 by under three percentage points and then backed Biden in 2020 by just over two percentage points. But she’s skeptical that Biden will win Arizona — or the 2024 election.

“Personally, I see it difficult for Biden to win. There’s already so many people who feel he hasn’t done anything, that the economy isn’t working,” Rodriguez, 48, said as she passed her 1-year-old granddaughter, Maria Daniela, an apple, mango and spinach baby food puree as a snack.

She was hearing it from her co-workers whom she had convinced to vote for Biden in 2020. Now, they either say they won’t vote this year or they’re considering backing Trump. They taunt her for pushing them to support Biden in 2020 — complaining to her about how bad inflation was under Biden and how he was letting in too many migrants and helping them when he wasn’t helping the undocumented immigrants already living here.

“They tell me things like, ‘Look at the gas. It hasn’t gone down at all since your Biden came into power.’ Your Biden, they tell me,” she said. “They say the same with a box of eggs or a gallon of milk. ‘Now that your Biden is around, the prices are up and the salaries don’t match it.’”

“And what can I say? Yes, it’s true,” she added. “Everything has gone up in price.”

Due to inflation, it cost an Arizona family over $2,700 a year more to purchase the same goods and services last August as it would have cost in August 2022, according to an analysis in September by the nonpartisan Common Sense Institute.

The sharpest increases came in distinct sectors, including gas prices, which rocketed higher in early 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, and have since fallen back to 2021 levels. The pain of those increases was felt especially in suburban and rural areas, where people like Rodriguez drive long distances on a daily basis.

Rodriguez said she knew it wasn’t necessarily Biden’s fault that inflation remained an issue in Phoenix, as she’d heard of it being a challenge globally. But she said she wished he would project more confidence and stability like Obama, the politician whom she said she became a U.S. citizen just to vote for. In her eyes, she said, Obama was handed a terrible economy after George W. Bush’s administration and was able to turn it around.

“Biden just doesn’t have that magic, that energy to get things done,” she said.

In a matchup between Biden and Trump, Rodriguez said she’ll vote for Biden again. It won’t be because he’s done a good job, she said, but because of just how strongly she dislikes Trump.

She added, however, that she doesn’t plan to repeat her election-year summer of knocking on doors in the Phoenix heat to get other Latinos out to vote for Biden this time.

Something Is Coming

We're still dealing with COVID-19 and whatever new horror it may have in store for us, and there's Bird Flu lurking out there too.



And, oh joy - we might get a brand new one.


Disease X: Global leaders to discuss how to prepare for 'next pandemic' next week

The Davos summit comes after warnings from experts that a hypothetical new pandemic named 'Disease X' could kill 20 times more people around the world than Covid-19


World leaders are to discuss preparation for the next pandemic at a major Davos summit next week.

Officials from across the globe will be heading to the annual World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Switzerland - with the risk posed by what's known as 'Disease X' one of the key items on the agenda.

It comes after warnings from experts that a hypothetical new pandemic could kill 20 times more people than the recent coronavirus outbreak. It is hoped that with the correct research framework in place and enough knowledge in place on a global level, a future pandemic could be eliminated in just 100 days.

The World Health Organisation (WHO) has warned of a potential Disease X since 2017, a term indicating an unknown pathogen that could cause a serious international epidemic. Speaking to the WEF on its Radio Davos podcast last year, author Kate Kelland said that extensive research into already-known families of viruses would help humanity prepare and create a vaccine quickly for the the next outbreak.

She said: "Because scientists were working for decades or more on Sars vaccines and also on Mers vaccine, they found out some very key pieces of information about coronaviruses. If we do that kind of homework on every one of the 25 or so viral families that we already know have the potential to cause disease in humans … then we can actually gain a lot of knowledge ahead of time about something that doesn't exist yet."

Ms Kelland added that an example of this preparedness had already been seen with monkeypox, which already had a vaccine in place before the outbreak in 2022 because it was from the same family as smallpox. Dame Kate Bingham, who was on the UK’s vaccine panel in 2020, has also previously warned that Disease X could be capable of producing 20 times as many fatalities as Covid-19 - about 50 million fatalities.

Public speakers at the 'Preparing for Disease X' event next Wednesday include Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, Director-General of the WHO, Brazilian Minister of Health Nisia Trindade Lima, and Michel Demaré, chair of the board at AstraZeneca.

In their first post-pandemic meeting held in November 2022, the WHO brought over 300 scientists to consider which of over 25 virus families and bacteria could potentially create another pandemic. The list the team came up with included: the Ebola virus, the Marburg virus disease, Covid-19, SARS, and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV). Others included lassa fever, nipah and henipaviral diseases, zift Valley fever, and zika - as well as the unknown pathogen that would cause "Disease X".

Jan 13, 2024

Red Hats

At the risk of belaboring the obvious: In the 1920s and 30s, it was Black Shirts in Italy, and Brown Shirts in Germany.

Now it's Red Hats here in USAmerica Inc.

They've been convinced of the absurdities, and they've begun to commit the atrocities.


To date, the news organization has identified at least 232 violent incidents fueled by political motives since the storming of the U.S. Capitol by supporters of former President Donald Trump on Jan. 6, 2021. The events range from riots to brawls at political demonstrations to beatings and murders.Nov 15, 2023
Oct 25, 2023 — Share who say they agree with the statement “American patriots may have to resort to violence in order to save the country”. Survey of at least 2,000 U.S. ...
Oct 25, 2023 — Startling New Poll Finds Political Violence Gaining a Mainstream Foothold. Protests As Joint Session Of Congress Confirms Presidential Election Result ...
Sep 5, 2023 — But only 18 percent of Republicans and Republican-leaners feel gun violence is a major problem (versus 73 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaners). So ...
Aug 12, 2023 — “What concerns me is that authority figures — not just Trump, but many others in the Republican Party — have promoted violent groups and dismissed the violence ...
Oct 25, 2023 — Support for political violence increased over past two years, poll finds, offering snapshot of America's deepening polarisation.



Jan 12, 2024

Today's Sign Of The Apocalypse

Just lemme say I'm sick to fucking death of this Shock Jock Culture, where it doesn't matter what your content is, as long you present it by screaming at the top of your lungs with a red-faced hysteria fit for a WWE promo.

This shit makes me less confident in a clear bright future for humankind.



ESPN knew Pat McAfee would bend the rules. Then he blew them up.

Before they hired Pat McAfee, ESPN executives made a decision: They couldn’t change the YouTube star.

The tank-top-wearing former punter would by definition need to be handled differently than anyone who had ever worked for the sports media giant. It was crucial, executives all the way up to Chairman Jimmy Pitaro thought, that McAfee help ESPN reestablish its cachet with younger sports fans.

The stunners. The cheers. The home runs, hat tricks and gameday magic. Don’t miss out with The Sports Moment, a newsletter for the biggest sports news.
So ESPN made concessions. They licensed McAfee’s show, which gave them less oversight of content; they allowed profanity; they blessed McAfee’s tank tops. Executives also discussed how they would deal with the fallout when McAfee inevitably said something that drew public scrutiny, including insulting a business partner like the NBA or NFL.

Some inside ESPN hoped to duplicate the sort of diplomatic immunity seemingly enjoyed by Charles Barkley, the face of TNT’s NBA coverage. McAfee, they thought, could eventually be like Barkley: loud and opinionated, but also granted a get-out-of-jail-free card to say things others couldn’t.

The network knew there would be some growing pains — a few news cycles that would test those limits. The past two weeks, though, went beyond anything the network troubleshooted.

One of his paid guests, star quarterback Aaron Rodgers, made inferences about Jimmy Kimmel’s connection to the serial abuser Jeffrey Epstein. Rodgers returned to the show and said he had not called Kimmel a pedophile but didn’t apologize — before launching into a 20-minute rant about vaccine efficacy. McAfee, meanwhile, called a longtime senior executive a “rat” on ESPN’s airwaves.

In between, there were cryptic tweets from McAfee with clips from “Scarface” and a seven-minute monologue by Kimmel — whose late-night ABC show, like ESPN, is part of the Disney family — in which he called Rodgers “too arrogant to know how ignorant he is.”

ESPN’s and Disney’s top executives were silent through it all, but on Wednesday, McAfee announced Rodgers would not return to his show this season, and McAfee later issued a long missive on social media. (Rodgers then made a brief football-focused appearance Thursday.)

“I certainly don’t love that I’ve found myself in political wars and public beefs because of something that a guest has said on our show or something that my dumb a-- has said,” McAfee wrote. “I think what I’ve come to realize is that it’s gonna come with the territory of this venture. We are much more aware of that now.”

The week-long episode was among the most fractious in the network’s history and has left plenty inside ESPN’s Bristol, Conn., campus thinking both about McAfee’s future, the network’s, and whether his ascension — and defiance — signals a new era for the TV behemoth. This story is based on interviews with nearly a dozen people in and around ESPN, including current and former employees and executives, most of whom spoke on the condition of anonymity, fearing professional repercussions. ESPN declined to comment.

McAfee sits at the intersection of two fundamental questions for ESPN. The first is as old as the network: whether its power lies in its platform or the talent. The second is whether it is possible for ESPN to be both a TV network and a cutting-edge digital and streaming platform.

In one of his segments last week, McAfee lambasted an old guard at ESPN that he said is out to get his show, calling them “old hags.” He named a particular executive, Norby Williamson, publicly accusing him of “sabotaging” the show by playing a role in a story in the New York Post about his flagging linear TV ratings.

ESPN has a history of suspending talent who have spoken out against colleagues or the company, from Tony Kornheiser to Keith Olbermann to Bill Simmons. Williamson, a polarizing figure at ESPN, has never been shy about his belief that talent is subservient to the ESPN brand, and he famously clashed with stars Stuart Scott and Jemele Hill. Last week, former ESPN host Dan Le Batard suggested Williamson had played a role in his exit from ESPN, too.

ESPN president James Pitaro knew partnering with McAfee carried risks. But this would have been difficult to game plan for. (Celeste Sloman/For The Washington Post)
Several years ago, Williamson told The Washington Post: “The perception became that you could just roll a talent out there and it doesn’t matter what he or she is saying — that the content didn’t matter. I just never believed that.”

The current media landscape is more fractured, but the biggest stars at ESPN — most notably Stephen A. Smith — have been given higher and higher salaries, more latitude to pursue outside projects and to talk about whatever they want. Smith reportedly earns $12 million a year; McAfee reportedly is at $15 million with four and a half years left on the deal that began in the fall.

McAfee has gotten away with testing the limits, at least for now, because Pitaro and ESPN made an enormous bet on him. An ESPN executive with a digital background, Mike Foss, told The Post last week that the future of ESPN will be driven by people like McAfee. “As you turn to direct-to-consumer...it’s a personality-driven industry way more than a brand-driven industry,” he said.

Indeed, with cord-cutting eating into the company’s cable subscribers — and ending the decades-long gravy train that came with them — ESPN has spent the past several years orchestrating a pivot to its direct-to-consumer streaming platform, planned for next year. TV is still where profits are, while a leaner digital future awaits. McAfee, whose greatest success has been as a YouTuber, is a piece of that strategy. He, like ESPN, is trying to succeed on the internet and TV, where audiences and successful content don’t look the same and it’s difficult to master both mediums.

Consider Williamson and Foss.

“Let’s not overthink ‘SportsCenter.’ The goal is to get more people to watch today than watched yesterday,” Williamson once told his staff, as quoted in that Post story from 2018.

Foss, meanwhile, told The Post last week that the whole conception of success for a studio show is going to change because of streaming: “Mitigating churn is going to be the key,” he said. “People coming to ESPN-Plus for a live event and then keeping that subscription because of the other things available to them, like Stephen A. [Smith], [Mike] Greenberg and McAfee.”

McAfee will likely offer some glimpse into ESPN’s evolution, whether he remains at the network or not, and his colleagues will be watching closely. Some staffers this week wondered if the company’s muted response stemmed from a fear of the culture wars — not wanting to get called “too woke” by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). Others wondered how ESPN might ever discipline a talent again like it once did Simmons and Olbermann. Others wondered why McAfee couldn’t just appear on YouTube and ESPN-Plus. Still others, more sympathetic to McAfee, thought Rodgers had taken advantage of the segments.

(One executive said they would have tried for an opt-out in McAfee’s contract, given his history and the length. ESPN declined to comment on whether there is any such clause in McAfee’s deal.)

Olbermann, the former “SportsCenter” anchor who now hosts the “Countdown” podcast, wondered if McAfee cared at all about ESPN.

“I do not begrudge Pat McAfee his success, and I don’t dare to criticize his style that got him here,” Olbermann said. "But I don’t think he gives a damn about ESPN as an institution or what it has to maintain to be as successful as it is now, much less stave off the deterioration of cable. If that wasn’t obvious beforehand, it was obvious this week.”

But plenty of people around the industry also agreed that if it’s an ignominious moment for ESPN, it’s also dangerous for McAfee. He has worked for a number of media outlets in his brief career, some with their own contentious exits, and even if ESPN is less than it once was there is still no other platform that offers the same visibility and money.
“The network always outlasts the talent,” Olbermann said.

God-Knobbers



Baby, It's Cold



Planet’s most abnormally cold air to surge into Lower 48 states

Severe cold will make for icy NFL games in Kansas City and Buffalo and frigid Iowa caucuses. It will also test the Texas power grid.


Stunning cold is crashing southward from the Arctic into the Lower 48 states. It could break hundreds of records this weekend into early next week. The bitter cold will arrive in the wake of another blockbuster storm sweeping the nation.

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The Arctic blast will produce the planet’s biggest negative temperature anomalies over parts of the western and central United States, in some places up to 60 degrees below normal. It will make for icy NFL playoff games in Kansas City and Buffalo this weekend and frigid Iowa caucuses Monday, and could test the Texas power grid.

On Friday morning, the cold had already begun to invade large parts of the western and central United States. The most extreme cold was in northern Montana, where wind chills plunged as low as minus-60 with actual air temperatures as low as minus-30. Air temperatures plummeted into single digits as far south as southern Kansas and as far east as Minneapolis.

It is poised to turn even more frigid over the weekend.

Wind chills below minus-40 degrees are forecast for much of the northern Plains and northern Rockies. "This will pose an increased risk of frostbite on exposed skin and hypothermia,” the National Weather Service warned. “Have a cold survival kit if you must travel.”

More than 28 million people are under wind chill alerts from eastern Washington state to Missouri.

Many major population centers will endure at least two to three days of severe cold, with temperatures at least 30 degrees below normal and dangerously low wind chills, between the weekend and early next week, including Denver, Des Moines, Minneapolis, Chicago, St. Louis, Oklahoma City and Dallas.

“We call it ‘life-threatening’ for a reason,” wrote the Weather Service office serving St. Louis on X, formerly Twitter. “Temperatures of this magnitude will cause harm if caught outdoors unprepared. Take it seriously. This kind of cold does not happen very often.”

This cold air outbreak is coming off a very mild start to winter, so it will come as a shock. Much of the northern contiguous United States has observed temperatures about five to 10 degrees above average since Dec. 1.

If current forecasts hold, areas home to more than 55 million Americans are expected to drop below zero through next Tuesday. Almost the entire Lower 48 faces temperatures at or below freezing at some point by the middle of next week.

Central U.S. faces brunt of polar plunge

This winter’s coldest air so far had already plunged into the southern Plains and Upper Midwest on Friday morning.

Monday's high temperature forecast compared to normal. (weatherbell.com)
By Saturday, most of the northern and central Plains should experience highs below zero and widespread lows of minus-15 or colder.

Havre, a city in north central Montana, is forecast to reach minus-40 Saturday, shattering the record of minus-35 set in 1997. Several other cities in Montana are likely to set records including Helena, which is expected to dip to minus-38, surpassing the calendar day record from 1888. Wind chills could approach minus-60 or minus-70 both, with minus-40 to minus-60 spilling into the northern Plains.

Subzero record lows are a risk as far south as Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle. Oklahoma City is forecast to fall to minus-2 on Tuesday morning. From there, the zero-degree line probably extends across northern Arkansas and then toward Indianapolis. Houston may struggle to rise above freezing while much of the South hovers in the 20s on Tuesday.

Locations as far east as the spine of the Appalachians could also flirt with zero Tuesday morning.

McAllen, at the far southern tip of Texas, is forecast to set a record with a low of 28 Wednesday. Gulfport, on the coast of Mississippi could challenge its calendar day record with a low of 17.

In all, hundreds of daily cold records, for lows and highs, are possible from the shores of the Pacific Northwest to the Gulf Coast between Saturday and Wednesday. Cities where record lows are a good bet include Spokane, Wash.; Billings, Mont.; Kansas City, Mo.; Tulsa; and Lake Charles, La.

Texas grid faces a test

With the Arctic air mass sinking into the southern Plains, the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) issued a weather watch for Jan. 15 to 17 (Monday through Wednesday) because of the anticipated high heating demand.

Texas’s statewide low temperature is forecast to average around 15 degrees Monday and Tuesday.

The grid is expected to hold, thanks to both increased capacity and the fact that the cold will not be as severe or prolonged as the extreme event in February 2021 when it collapsed.

Frigid for playoff football

Wind chill forecast for Saturday evening during the game in Kansas City. In and around the city, wind chills are forecast to be in the minus-20s to near minus-30. (weatherbell.com)
A wild card weekend kick-starts the playoffs with a throwback to frozen football games of old.

The Weather Service is predicting a high in the single digits in Kansas City on Saturday when the Chiefs host the Miami Dolphins.

The kickoff temperatures will probably be near or below zero before dropping to several degrees below zero in the fourth quarter. Factoring in frigid winds, it will feel like minus-20 or lower. There could be a snow flurry in the air, too.

When the Buffalo Bills face the Pittsburgh Steelers at home Sunday afternoon, fresh snow should be on the ground, and it may still be falling heavily at times from bands off Lake Erie.

A winter storm watch is in effect Saturday afternoon through Monday morning as a foot or more could fall in the most persistent bands. Several inches could accumulate during the game, with temperatures in the low or mid-20s. But it will feel closer to the single digits to near zero as winds gust to 40-plus mph.

Iowa caucuses face intense chill

High temperatures on Monday in Iowa are expected to remain below zero. (weatherbell.com)
The long-awaited opening salvo of the 2024 presidential election begins Monday with the caucuses in Iowa. And it will be nearly as cold as it gets.

Highs on Monday shouldn’t get above zero across the state, while deep snow remains on the ground from recent storms. Temperatures will hover just above record lows for the date in most areas. But Sioux City’s predicted high temperature of minus-3 would be the coldest on record.

By Monday evening, temperatures are forecast to approach ten below zero before dropping overnight to minus-15 or minus-20. Winds gusting around 30 mph could deliver wind chills of minus-20 to minus-30 during the evening, dipping as far as minus-40 overnight.

How cold will your city be?

Much of the central United States takes this Arctic attack head-on, and it is quite powerful considering our warming climate. Here’s how cold it is forecast to get in a number of cities, several of which could set calendar day record lows:
  • Great Falls, Mont. — Minus-36 for Saturday’s low
  • Sioux City, Iowa — Minus-20 for Sunday’s low
  • Burlington, Ill. — Minus-14 for Monday’s low
  • Fargo, N.D. — Minus-10 for Sunday’s low
  • Kansas City — Minus-10 for Monday’s low
  • Minneapolis — Minus 11 for Monday’s low
  • Chicago — Minus-6 for Monday’s low
  • Denver — Minus-8 for Monday’s low
  • St. Louis — 0 for Sunday’s low
  • Dallas — 11 for Tuesday’s low
  • Houston — 21 for Tuesday’s low
Denver is among the cities that will experience a rather long stretch of abnormally cold temperatures. “Expect sub-zero wind chills all of Saturday, Sunday, Monday, and maybe Tuesday also,” wrote Chris Bianchi, a broadcast meteorologist based in Denver, on X, formerly Twitter. “Temps will probably be stuck in the single-digits in Denver all of Saturday-Monday. This isn’t common.”

In Chicago, highs probably won’t rise above the single digits Sunday through Tuesday. Even as far south as Little Rock, highs may be stuck in the 20s Sunday through Tuesday.

By Tuesday morning, subzero cold is expected to stretch as far as southern Kansas and Missouri.


Although the Arctic blast will moderate farther east, the coldest air of the season will also arrive along the East Coast by Tuesday or Wednesday.

Lows may dip to the mid- and upper teens along the Interstate 95 corridor from Virginia to Boston on Wednesday, with interior areas in the single digits or colder. Freezing highs are probable from Washington northward.

Freezing overnight conditions may also dip to northern Florida by Wednesday, with the rest of the Gulf Coast probably sinking into the 20s.

When will the cold relent?

A model simulation for late next week continues to look favorable for cold in the eastern half of the nation with the flow pattern directing Arctic air from Canada southward. (Tropical Tidbits)
This first round of cold will ease late next week, though much of the country will remain chillier than normal. That’s before another faceoff with Arctic air that’s possible by the weekend of Jan. 20 and 21.

Any signals for a more substantial thaw are still about two weeks away. Forecasts made by longer-range models, while low-confidence, indicate milder than normal weather for the central state in early February but chilly weather holding on in the East, when El Niño events are known to sometimes fuel winter storms.

A Recap

It's hard to keep track of it all. Here's a short, partial recap of the last coupla weeks.


Yasmin Khan

  • Where's Melania?
  • No Ted Cruz endorsement
  • He got mixed up on his dates again
  • New-ish audio on his efforts to fuck with voting in Detroit 
  • Trump has already been found liable/guilty in the NYC Fraud case
  • Trump has already been found liable/guilty in the E Jean Carroll case
  • The only decisions pending are about how much he'll have to pay

Jan 11, 2024

Today's Podcast

The Professional Left with Driftglass and Blue Gal



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