Jul 11, 2011
Beating A Dead Horse
Sometimes you just have to keep going over the same ground, and revisiting the same arguments ad nauseum just to stay even with the epidemic of ignorance in the American Body Politic.
Repubs in general, and their PseudoCon wing in particular, just refuse to let go of their fairy tales. Especially the one about "Tax Cuts Generate More Tax Revenue By Creating More Tax Payers".
Simply put, this is total bunkum. I know this because while I generally kinda suck at Math, I can manage some basic arithmetic, which is what the TeaBaggers (eg) like to believe is all they need to make their "common sense" judgements on tax policy.
So here it is:
Bush Tax Cuts 2001 - 2011 (remembering that Obama agreed to extend them thru 2012)
Conservative estimates say these cost us about $800,000,000,000.00; or about $80 Billion/Year.
If each job created by the Bush Tax Cuts pays an average of $30k per year, then the Feds collect about $6,000.00 in taxes.
So, if we divide $80 Billion (cost) by $6,000 (revenue), we need to have created more than 13,000,000 jobs per year, which means we needed to have added over 1,000,000 jobs per month in the last 10 years. When was the last time this economy showed a net increase of a million jobs in any month in the last 10 years? When was the last time we showed an increase of a million jobs in any quarter?
But, let's back up a little and say that I'm using wacky numbers and that my calculations are just way off the mark. OK; for grins and giggles, let's say I'm off by huge margins. Let's say the cost is only half of what I'm citing, and that the jobs created are paying 50% better than $30,000 a year.
Now we've got a cost of $40 Billion per year divided by revenues of $9,000, which means we only needed 370,000 new jobs per month over the last 10 years. Again, when was the last time we had a string of jobs reports that said we'd added 370,000 new jobs for any number of months in a row?
Reality: In the 118 months of W Bush and Obama, we've averaged a net increase of 17,144 jobs per month. I don't care how you look at it, a decade of deep tax cuts has failed to produce what the proponents of this policy promised us. We have to find it in ourselves to admit that it's a failure and that it belongs in the dumpster with The Great Society and The Domino Theory and a whole host of others that sounded good, but turned out to be little more than political flim-flam.
Fair warning: From here on out, if you try to float this shit by me, I will not preface my remarks by starting off with, "I'm sorry but..." I will straight-up call you stupid to your face, and I really don't care what else happens.
Repubs in general, and their PseudoCon wing in particular, just refuse to let go of their fairy tales. Especially the one about "Tax Cuts Generate More Tax Revenue By Creating More Tax Payers".
Simply put, this is total bunkum. I know this because while I generally kinda suck at Math, I can manage some basic arithmetic, which is what the TeaBaggers (eg) like to believe is all they need to make their "common sense" judgements on tax policy.
So here it is:
Bush Tax Cuts 2001 - 2011 (remembering that Obama agreed to extend them thru 2012)
Conservative estimates say these cost us about $800,000,000,000.00; or about $80 Billion/Year.
If each job created by the Bush Tax Cuts pays an average of $30k per year, then the Feds collect about $6,000.00 in taxes.
So, if we divide $80 Billion (cost) by $6,000 (revenue), we need to have created more than 13,000,000 jobs per year, which means we needed to have added over 1,000,000 jobs per month in the last 10 years. When was the last time this economy showed a net increase of a million jobs in any month in the last 10 years? When was the last time we showed an increase of a million jobs in any quarter?
But, let's back up a little and say that I'm using wacky numbers and that my calculations are just way off the mark. OK; for grins and giggles, let's say I'm off by huge margins. Let's say the cost is only half of what I'm citing, and that the jobs created are paying 50% better than $30,000 a year.
Now we've got a cost of $40 Billion per year divided by revenues of $9,000, which means we only needed 370,000 new jobs per month over the last 10 years. Again, when was the last time we had a string of jobs reports that said we'd added 370,000 new jobs for any number of months in a row?
Reality: In the 118 months of W Bush and Obama, we've averaged a net increase of 17,144 jobs per month. I don't care how you look at it, a decade of deep tax cuts has failed to produce what the proponents of this policy promised us. We have to find it in ourselves to admit that it's a failure and that it belongs in the dumpster with The Great Society and The Domino Theory and a whole host of others that sounded good, but turned out to be little more than political flim-flam.
Fair warning: From here on out, if you try to float this shit by me, I will not preface my remarks by starting off with, "I'm sorry but..." I will straight-up call you stupid to your face, and I really don't care what else happens.
Jul 10, 2011
Grief And The Media
It's been a while since Gil Scott Heron died, and it's been a while since I first saw this video from Jay Smooth. I'm putting it up now because I think I'm kinda starting to get what Jay's talking about when he criticizes some of the affects that all of this new technology is having on our ability to relate to the world and to each other.
Jul 9, 2011
A Simple Truth
Or rather, there's at least one simple truth about the big flap over the Debt Ceiling. So, to put it simply, what the Repubs are saying is that they ran up the bills all thru W's time in office (when they controlled the purse strings for 75% of that period), but now that it's time to raise the money to pay for all that spending, they're balking - they wanna renege on the obligation to pay for what they did. And, of course, they're pretty sure they can get the rubes to blame Obama for it, because he's the guy in charge now. And, of course the rubes will eat it up because that's what they do - the elephant shits on their heads, and they all say, "Thanks for the hat, boss".
And btw: Obama played much the same game when he was on the other side of the fence. Nobody comes outa this smellin' fresh.
Take a look at Bruce Bartlett's 5 Myths About The Debt Ceiling.
Put this together with the crappy jobs reports for May and June, and I don't see anything but shit storms coming over the horizon. The stimulus is pretty much all tapped out, the PseudoCons are yankin' the Repubs around like they had tails, and the Dems seem intent on missing yet another opportunity to grow some balls.
One last thing: I think The Repubs actually believe that no matter what happens, they'll be able to make a case that Obama has broken the law, or is taking some outrageous action that's outside the bounds of the Constitution - so what's really happening here is that they're trying to set him up for impeachment.
Ya heard it here first.
And btw: Obama played much the same game when he was on the other side of the fence. Nobody comes outa this smellin' fresh.
Take a look at Bruce Bartlett's 5 Myths About The Debt Ceiling.
Put this together with the crappy jobs reports for May and June, and I don't see anything but shit storms coming over the horizon. The stimulus is pretty much all tapped out, the PseudoCons are yankin' the Repubs around like they had tails, and the Dems seem intent on missing yet another opportunity to grow some balls.
One last thing: I think The Repubs actually believe that no matter what happens, they'll be able to make a case that Obama has broken the law, or is taking some outrageous action that's outside the bounds of the Constitution - so what's really happening here is that they're trying to set him up for impeachment.
Ya heard it here first.
Jul 8, 2011
A Christian Freaks Out
The lady seems pretty calm at first - and the recording has nothing about what leads up to her tantrum - but then she gets just a little nuts.
I do wonder about the affects of all this constant exposure of our behavior to millions of people via the inter-tubes. Seems like everybody has a camera, and there's an awful lot of casual surveillance going on.
I do wonder about the affects of all this constant exposure of our behavior to millions of people via the inter-tubes. Seems like everybody has a camera, and there's an awful lot of casual surveillance going on.
Jul 6, 2011
Taxation
"We have a spending problem, not a revenue problem."
"Taxes are too high in the US."
"No wonder companies are trying to shelter their income; corporate taxes are sky high."
All of that is bullshit. To wit (Citizens For Tax Justice):
"Taxes are too high in the US."
"No wonder companies are trying to shelter their income; corporate taxes are sky high."
All of that is bullshit. To wit (Citizens For Tax Justice):
Jul 5, 2011
Today's Brain Lesson
Try not to think about Frank Luntz or DumFux News.
I may have posted this before - dunno; don't care. It's enlightening and bears repeating.
I may have posted this before - dunno; don't care. It's enlightening and bears repeating.
Jul 4, 2011
Told Ya So
From Ed Pilkington, Guardian:
Gibbs is the first woman in Mississippi to be charged with murder relating to the loss of her unborn baby. But her case is by no means isolated. Across the US more and more prosecutions are being brought that seek to turn pregnant women into criminals.For a country supposedly filled with smart people, some of the things we do are just fuckin' stupid.
Jul 3, 2011
What To Call 'Em
What do you call somebody who can't stop deifying Ronald Reagan, but who also says they would never vote for anybody who raises taxes, compromises with Democrats, and negotiates with America's enemies?
What do you call somebody who says he hates government intrusion, but insists on making the government the final arbiter of morality and propriety in cases of entertainment and radio and TV and print material and internet content?
What do you call somebody who says the government must prevent women from making their own decisions about child-bearing?
What do you call somebody who conveniently ignores the first 13 words (out of 27 total) while trying to make a case in favor of "a strictly constructionist interpretation" of the 2nd Amendment to the Constitution?
What do you call somebody enjoying a nice long career at Northrup Grumman who states flatly that the government never creates any jobs?
What do you call somebody who says illegal aliens are too lazy to work, and are at the same time, trying to steal their jobs?
You call these people PseudoCons.
(hat tip: The American Scholar)
What do you call somebody who says he hates government intrusion, but insists on making the government the final arbiter of morality and propriety in cases of entertainment and radio and TV and print material and internet content?
What do you call somebody who says the government must prevent women from making their own decisions about child-bearing?
What do you call somebody who conveniently ignores the first 13 words (out of 27 total) while trying to make a case in favor of "a strictly constructionist interpretation" of the 2nd Amendment to the Constitution?
What do you call somebody enjoying a nice long career at Northrup Grumman who states flatly that the government never creates any jobs?
What do you call somebody who says illegal aliens are too lazy to work, and are at the same time, trying to steal their jobs?
You call these people PseudoCons.
(hat tip: The American Scholar)
Go And Sin No More
As always, the question is: what are they not telling us?
I'm hoping big time that Obama's working behind the scenes (thru the IG Offices maybe?) to root out the bad guys and cut 'em loose. Unfortunately, I think once somebody gets around to writing The Decline And Fall Of The American Empire, this episode will be cited as a signal event.
Over 100 detainees died during U.S. interrogations, dozens due directly to interrogation abuse. Gen. Barry McCaffrey said: "We tortured people unmercifully. We probably murdered dozens of them during the course of that, both the armed forces and the C.I.A." Maj. Gen. Antonio Taguba, who oversaw the official investigation into detainee abuse, wrote: "there is no longer any doubt as to whether the current administration has committed war crimes. The only question that remains to be answered is whether those who ordered the use of torture will be held to account."I think Obama may have made the right call by allowing a whitewash - as shitty as that seems, and as thoroughly depressing as it is. The Bushies knew how to play it. They made sure practically everybody shared the guilt - not just the bosses and the party apparatchiks, but the career bureaucrats as well. Obama couldn't just go after a few at the top because that'd look too politically motivated. And if he tried to let the thing go wherever it needed to go, then he'd have to spend every waking moment riding herd on it. Once you start that kind of thing, it quickly turns into a witch hunt, and then the careerists and the cynical manipulators are about the only ones who really benefit. Obama had to be thinking the costs of that level of disruption outweigh the benefits.
I'm hoping big time that Obama's working behind the scenes (thru the IG Offices maybe?) to root out the bad guys and cut 'em loose. Unfortunately, I think once somebody gets around to writing The Decline And Fall Of The American Empire, this episode will be cited as a signal event.
Jul 2, 2011
About DumFux News
From Cynthia Boaz at truthout:
There is nothing more sacred to the maintenance of democracy than a free press. Access to comprehensive, accurate and quality information is essential to the manifestation of Socratic citizenship - the society characterized by a civically engaged, well-informed and socially invested populace. Thus, to the degree that access to quality information is willfully or unintentionally obstructed, democracy itself is degraded.-snip-
The basics:
Panic Mongering
Ad Hominem
Projection
Revision of History
Scapegoating
Violence = Power, Opposition to Violence = Weakness
Bullying
Confusion
Populism
Invoking the Christian God
Saturation
Disparaging Education
Guilt By Association
Diversion
Panic Mongering
Ad Hominem
Projection
Revision of History
Scapegoating
Violence = Power, Opposition to Violence = Weakness
Bullying
Confusion
Populism
Invoking the Christian God
Saturation
Disparaging Education
Guilt By Association
Diversion
In debating some of these tactics with colleagues and friends, I have also noticed that the Fox viewership seems to be marked by a sort of collective personality disorder whereby the viewer feels almost as though they've been let into a secret society. Something about their affiliation with the network makes them feel privileged and this affinity is likely what drives the viewers to defend the network so vehemently. They seem to identify with it at a core level, because it tells them they are special and privy to something the rest of us don't have. It's akin to the loyalty one feels by being let into a private club or a gang. That effect is also likely to make the propaganda more powerful, because it goes mostly unquestioned.
Jul 1, 2011
A Word From Mr Carnegie
“Take away my people, but leave my factories, and soon grass will grow on the factory floors. Take away my factories, but leave my people, and soon we will have a new and better factory.” --Andrew Carnegie
I think Carnegie understood there are ways to get what you want and still be a human being about it.
Also, by retiring and spending his last 18 years disposing of his wealth (about $4.3 Billion adjusted), he ended up turning his fortune back to the people who helped him amass it in the first place.
Kind Of A Dick
I've said many times that whatever the issue is, and whatever the politician says about the issue, we're never hearing the full story. There's always something they're not telling us. And so, it's the first priority of a properly functioning free press to find out what we're not being told.
Unfortunately, the Corporate Press has been almost completely co-opted, and serves more of a PR role than anything else. But they still need to believe they're doing something; and they need to make it look like they're doing something other than simply repeating what they're told at the "news conference".
That's what gives us the Horse Race style of "reporting". There's very little actual substance they can get from the politicians, and if they get too pushy, or they snoop too much, they'll start to lose their access to the politician and to the staffers, etc. So what we get is a variation on Yakov Smirnoff's line: The politicians pretend to do the people's business, and the Press Poodles pretend to tell us about it.
What's crazy, tho', is that when we do get some real news about some pretty amazing fucked-up-ed-ness, it feels like nothing is done about it for fear that it'll look too much like political retaliation - which is (usually) exactly how the Press Poodles present it to us. (example): By rights, half of the people in the last Bush Administration should be doin' hard time in federal prisons, but all we hear about is how this horrendous official behavior will affect the turnout for the next election.
And so it evolves into a game of Beat The Scandal. Politicians and power brokers need to make sure we don't realize how thoroughly mangled and corrupt the system is, so they throw us a nice juicy story of some Brand Name politico's misdeeds. It has to be sexual tho'; official misconduct attracts too much of the wrong kind of attention, and since practically everybody's crooked, then everybody gets roasted if the public knows too much. The Press Poodles, knowing they're part of the power-and-money problem, tend to play it up in order to give us the illusion that they're digging for the truth and "keepin' 'em honest".
Instead of learning anything at all from Mark Halperin about what prompted him to say Obama was "kind of a dick", we get nothing but the standard package of phony outrage for 2 solid days. And the thing ran out of steam so fast, they had to shift the focus to the failures of the technology and/or production process that allowed the comment to make it out over the air.
We know Bush lied about Iraq
We know about torture and extra-legal prisons
We know Scalia and Thomas are as crooked as the day is long
We know Big Banking put a thirty-year hole in the world economy
We know Big Corporate buys politicians
We know Obama is outside the War Powers Resolution in Libya
We know Obama signs orders to assassinate people he deems "enemies"
We know there's a storm coming because of the budget hassles
We know all of this - and a lot more - but nobody's being held to account for their fuckups in the past - and nobody's being asked about how we prevent more fuckups in the future.
Unfortunately, the Corporate Press has been almost completely co-opted, and serves more of a PR role than anything else. But they still need to believe they're doing something; and they need to make it look like they're doing something other than simply repeating what they're told at the "news conference".
That's what gives us the Horse Race style of "reporting". There's very little actual substance they can get from the politicians, and if they get too pushy, or they snoop too much, they'll start to lose their access to the politician and to the staffers, etc. So what we get is a variation on Yakov Smirnoff's line: The politicians pretend to do the people's business, and the Press Poodles pretend to tell us about it.
What's crazy, tho', is that when we do get some real news about some pretty amazing fucked-up-ed-ness, it feels like nothing is done about it for fear that it'll look too much like political retaliation - which is (usually) exactly how the Press Poodles present it to us. (example): By rights, half of the people in the last Bush Administration should be doin' hard time in federal prisons, but all we hear about is how this horrendous official behavior will affect the turnout for the next election.
And so it evolves into a game of Beat The Scandal. Politicians and power brokers need to make sure we don't realize how thoroughly mangled and corrupt the system is, so they throw us a nice juicy story of some Brand Name politico's misdeeds. It has to be sexual tho'; official misconduct attracts too much of the wrong kind of attention, and since practically everybody's crooked, then everybody gets roasted if the public knows too much. The Press Poodles, knowing they're part of the power-and-money problem, tend to play it up in order to give us the illusion that they're digging for the truth and "keepin' 'em honest".
Instead of learning anything at all from Mark Halperin about what prompted him to say Obama was "kind of a dick", we get nothing but the standard package of phony outrage for 2 solid days. And the thing ran out of steam so fast, they had to shift the focus to the failures of the technology and/or production process that allowed the comment to make it out over the air.
We know Bush lied about Iraq
We know about torture and extra-legal prisons
We know Scalia and Thomas are as crooked as the day is long
We know Big Banking put a thirty-year hole in the world economy
We know Big Corporate buys politicians
We know Obama is outside the War Powers Resolution in Libya
We know Obama signs orders to assassinate people he deems "enemies"
We know there's a storm coming because of the budget hassles
We know all of this - and a lot more - but nobody's being held to account for their fuckups in the past - and nobody's being asked about how we prevent more fuckups in the future.
Jun 30, 2011
Jun 28, 2011
Jun 27, 2011
Stating The Obvious
Maybe the Dems are finally starting to get it. Michael Tomasky:
And while I don't think Chucky Schumer has a lot of room to criticize, it'll be interesting to see if playing the Repubs' main game and making them defend their positions (for once) will work to the Dems' favor.
It’s about time the Democrats started saying openly what has been clear for months or even years now—that as long as economic recovery would work to the political benefit of Barack Obama, the Republicans have been, are, and will be in favor of sabotaging the economy. Senators Chuck Schumer and Dick Durbin made the point in a press conference in the Capitol Thursday. Noting that his GOP colleagues are coming out against business tax cuts (read that again: Republicans against tax cuts for businesses) that Democrats happen to support, Schumer said, “It almost makes you wonder if they aren't trying to slow down the economic recovery for political gain.”A politician doing something for political gain is not news. But looking at what exactly that politician is trying to do, and how he's doing it can be hugely important.
And while I don't think Chucky Schumer has a lot of room to criticize, it'll be interesting to see if playing the Repubs' main game and making them defend their positions (for once) will work to the Dems' favor.
Get Ready Cuz Here It Comes
Are you ready for the next big collapse? NYT has a ruin-your-whole-day kinda piece today, all about the frenzy over how Natural Gas will save us.
Jun 25, 2011
The Late Great US of A
From a story in the LA Times:
Anyway, I'm pretty sure this is what that famous Slippery Slope actually looks like.
First, tho', I think it's important to remember that when these guys talk about this stuff in public, they're not talking about everything they know about it. There's always something they're not telling us - either because it really is justifiably secret, or because it would make them look like assholes &/or idiots. Getting past the obstacle of Information asymmetry is what journalism is supposed to be all about - and what we have to remember about the Press Poodles is that they're show dogs, not workin' dogs.
So, now what're we supposed to get outa this little dog-and-pony show?
Main Point: We're the good guys, so of course, we don't torture people. But if you fuck with us, we'll rip off your eyelids and make you watch as we feed 'em to the dogs.
Over time, this will evolve. Before too long, "for the sake of public safety" will be used to justify harsh treatment of anybody in custody; and eventually, detention and harsh treatment will not be limited to "the terrorists". Remember that it's already been established in the law that the president can point at anybody, and calling that person an enemy combatant, make that person disappear. Don't even try to suggest that it couldn't or won't happen here because America is exceptional (and therefore superior). It will happen here because now it can happen here. We removed all the safeguards that always worked to keep it from happening.
Generally, people don't gravitate to the centers of power because they think it'll be fun to work 18 hours a day for crappy wages "in service to the people". There are some of those of course, but the ladder climbers are the same people you find in any other line of work. They're hyper-competitive and coldly ambitious, and they're not there seeking the noble fulfillment of doing well by doing good. They want the power for its own sake.
The would-be CIA director tells the Senate Intelligence Committee that the U.S. should consider a policy for using special interrogation techniques when information is needed right away to save lives. John McCain, a fellow opponent of recent 'enhanced' methods, agrees.Quick aside: David Patraeus was nicknamed Peaches in high school - and never mind how I know that.
Anyway, I'm pretty sure this is what that famous Slippery Slope actually looks like.
First, tho', I think it's important to remember that when these guys talk about this stuff in public, they're not talking about everything they know about it. There's always something they're not telling us - either because it really is justifiably secret, or because it would make them look like assholes &/or idiots. Getting past the obstacle of Information asymmetry is what journalism is supposed to be all about - and what we have to remember about the Press Poodles is that they're show dogs, not workin' dogs.
So, now what're we supposed to get outa this little dog-and-pony show?
Main Point: We're the good guys, so of course, we don't torture people. But if you fuck with us, we'll rip off your eyelids and make you watch as we feed 'em to the dogs.
Over time, this will evolve. Before too long, "for the sake of public safety" will be used to justify harsh treatment of anybody in custody; and eventually, detention and harsh treatment will not be limited to "the terrorists". Remember that it's already been established in the law that the president can point at anybody, and calling that person an enemy combatant, make that person disappear. Don't even try to suggest that it couldn't or won't happen here because America is exceptional (and therefore superior). It will happen here because now it can happen here. We removed all the safeguards that always worked to keep it from happening.
Generally, people don't gravitate to the centers of power because they think it'll be fun to work 18 hours a day for crappy wages "in service to the people". There are some of those of course, but the ladder climbers are the same people you find in any other line of work. They're hyper-competitive and coldly ambitious, and they're not there seeking the noble fulfillment of doing well by doing good. They want the power for its own sake.
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