Slouching Towards Oblivion

Sunday, January 03, 2021

Today's Passing

Floyd Little (July 4, 1942 - January 1, 2021)

I grew up watching the Donkeys lose every way imaginable - it's more than reasonable to think the phrase, "snatching defeat from the jaws of victory", was coined specifically with the Denver Broncos in mind.

But then along came Floyd and things began to change.


Floyd Little, a Hall of Fame running back who starred at Syracuse University and later for the Denver Broncos, died Jan. 1 at his home in Henderson, Nev. He was 78.

The Pro Football Hall of Fame announced the death Friday night. The cause was cancer.

Mr. Little was a three-time all-American at Syracuse, where he wore No. 44, like Jim Brown and Ernie Davis before him. From 1964 to 1966, he ran for 2,704 yards and 46 touchdowns.

He was the sixth overall pick in the 1967 AFL-NFL draft and played nine seasons in Denver. He earned the nickname “The Franchise” because his signing was credited with keeping the team from relocating and helped persuade voters to approve funds to upgrade Mile High Stadium, which has since been replaced.

I was at this game in 1969

“I know when I got there, the talk was about the team moving to Chicago or Birmingham,” Mr. Little told the Associated Press in 2009. “So I supposedly saved the franchise. . . . It’s been a part of my name ever since.”

A five-time Pro Bowler, he led the NFL in rushing yards (1,133) in 1971 and in touchdown runs (12) in 1973. He also was one of the game’s best return men, leading the AFL in punt return average as a rookie in 1967.

During his nine-year pro career, the 5-foot-10, 195-pound Mr. Little rushed for 6,323 yards and 43 touchdowns and caught 215 passes for 2,418 yards and nine scores. He had the most all-purpose yards in pro football and ranked second only to O.J. Simpson in rushing yards during the years he was active.

Mr. Little was elected to the College Football Hall of Fame in 1983 and the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2010, after a three-decade wait. He told the AP that he had given up hope of ever making it into the Hall of Fame.

“I was running out of guys who had seen me play,” he said. “The people that had seen me play were starting to fade off and retire. All these guys were no longer there, so who’s going to talk about Floyd Little? Nobody. I thought I’d just fallen through the cracks, never to be seen or heard from again.”

Floyd Douglas Little was born July 4, 1942, in New Haven, Conn. He was persuaded to attend Syracuse by Ernie Davis, the first Black player to win the Heisman Trophy. Davis, who had worn No. 44 at Syracuse after Brown had the number, died of leukemia in 1963.

When Mr. Little was given No. 44, it cemented a Syracuse tradition of outstanding running backs with that number. (The number was retired in 2005.) In 1965, Mr. Little was the first Syracuse runner to gain 1,000 yards in a season. He finished fifth in the Heisman voting two times.

He graduated from Syracuse in 1967 and received a master’s degree in legal administration from the University of Denver in 1975.

During his long wait for enshrinement in the Pro Football Hall of Fame, Mr. Little said he was regularly approached by fans wanting him to settle a bet: Which year did he go into the Hall of Fame?

“And I have to tell them I’m not in the Hall of Fame and I’ve never even been nominated,” he said. On the eve of his selection, he said he’d had a premonition that his time was coming at last.

“It’s the 44th Super Bowl,” he said in 2010. “An African American just became our 44th president. I wore No. 44. I just feel it’s my time.”

When he received the call that he would be enshrined, Mr. Little said, “I was numb.”

After his football career ended in 1975, he had a car dealership in Seattle for 32 years. From 2011 to 2016, he returned to Syracuse as a special assistant to the athletic director.

A few years ago, my kids went in together and got me an autographed ball for Christmas.


Respect forever, Floyd.

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   551,918 (⬆︎ .66%)
  • New Deaths:      8,296 (⬆︎ .46%)
USA
  • New Cases:   232,227 (⬆︎ 1.15%)
  • New Deaths:      2,107 (⬆︎   .60%)
The numbers always take a dip on weekends - especially on holiday weekends - and then they bounce back up through the week. We've seen a big bounce a coupla weeks after every holiday so far, and these particular holidays are throwing things more outa wack than usual. 

Point being: the lows have been awfully high lately, and when the weekend lows are higher than most previous mid-week highs, we could be looking at a whole new set of big-ass problems. 





NYT: (pay wall)

Confusion and Shortages Impede Some U.S. Vaccination Campaigns

A crashed phone network in Houston. People waiting overnight in long lines in Florida. Older Tennesseans leaning on their walkers outside in the cold alongside a highway.

As distribution of Covid-19 vaccines begins to open up to wider segments of the United States population, there have been scenes of chaos across the country.

The initial vaccine deliveries were mostly for frontline medical workers and nursing home staff members and residents. But there was less of a clear consensus on how to distribute the second round of doses, and public health and elected officials had warned the process would become messier.

Those warnings appear to have been borne out, leaving the U.S. inoculation campaign behind schedule and raising fears about how quickly the country will be able to tame the epidemic.

In Puerto Rico, a shipment of vaccines did not arrive until the workers who would have administered them had left for the Christmas holiday. In California, where coronavirus cases are surging and hospitals are overstretched, doctors are worried about whether there will be enough staff members to both administer vaccines and tend to Covid-19 patients.

Many vaccination sites have operated smoothly since the first U.S. inoculation on Dec. 14, but as availability of vaccines broadened, logistical complications arose at some sites and yielded unnerving images.

In Tullahoma, Tenn., older people lined a sidewalk on Saturday as they waited to enter the Coffee County Health Department’s Tullahoma clinic, about 70 miles northwest of Chattanooga. Most of the people in line were wearing heavy coats or huddled under blankets.

A video of the scene posted to Facebook showed seniors leaning on walkers and canes and sitting on footstools and lawn chairs as they waited for the building to open. Vickie Rayfield Ham, who posted the video, wrote that she thought the distribution center would be a drive-through.

“Some of the elderly were having to walk down the road with their walkers to get to the end of the line, and people were flying by,” she told WTVC, a local television news station.

In a Facebook post that went up shortly before 10 a.m. local time, a couple of hours after Ms. Ham’s video, the city of Tullahoma said that all available doses had been administered for the day and that information about next week’s vaccination schedule would be released on Monday.

The opening day for Houston’s first free public Covid-19 vaccination clinic unleashed so much demand that the city health department’s phone system crashed, causing officials to scramble to move to on-site registration.

Vaccinations began in Houston soon after the first doses of the Pfizer vaccine started arriving at its hospitals on Dec. 14. On Saturday, the city opened a clinic at the Bayou City Event Center providing the Moderna vaccine to high-risk members of the public, saying it could accommodate 750 appointments a day.

Mayor Sylvester Turner said that the health department had received more than 250,000 calls.

“The system was literally overwhelmed,” he said during a news briefing on Saturday.

The clinic’s phone system was back up by the afternoon and as of 2 p.m. local time about 450 people had received a Covid-19 vaccine, Mr. Turner said.

Vaccine rollout sites in Florida continued to be overwhelmed in some places, with people waiting for hours overnight in hopes of getting the shot. The state had expanded its offering of vaccines to older members of the general public — in some cases, on a first-come, first-served basis.

Florida became one of the first states to open up vaccination to anyone older than 65, after Gov. Ron DeSantis issued an executive order on Dec. 23.

Mina Bobel, 74, and her husband, Dave Bobel, lined up at 2 a.m. outside the Lakes Regional Library in Fort Myers, Fla., on Wednesday in hopes of getting vaccinated. They came prepared with snacks and water, and even took turns sleeping in the back of their S.U.V. There were about 300 people ahead of them in line, Ms. Bobel said, and most of them had come well equipped, too — with coats and blankets to keep warm.

“For us, it was an adventure,” Ms. Bobel said, adding that she was “giddy” when finally, around 10 a.m., she stepped up to get her first dose. “We feel really lucky.”

When she left, Ms. Bobel said, the line was even longer than when she arrived.


The top wellness topics of 2020 — coronavirus and fitness

1. Masks and covid-19
The face mask is the defining item of 2020. Early in the pandemic, when there was a shortage of N95 and surgical masks, articles about how to create homemade cloth masks, how to care for masks, including N95 masks that had to be reused, and whether it was advisable to use gaiters as masks were highly read and debated. We collected the best and most recent advice in an FAQ in late September, which is being kept updated. The article about how to treat maskne is also still relevant.

2. Mental health and covid-19
The global pandemic and the conditions it created has had almost as much of an impact on our mental health as on our physical health. Readers sought out stories to help them deal with anxiety (linked above), “toxic positivity,” seasonal depression, and the pressure to be productive. They also welcomed tips for building emotional resilience.

3. Covid-19 and surfaces
Whether to disinfect surfaces — and how to do so and how often — was a huge topic of conversation in the early months of the pandemic. But there’s no need to continue to quarantine mail or wipe down every item that enters the house, experts say. Research has shown that the risk of transmission from surfaces and objects is low, and that it’s best to focus on hand-washing, mask-wearing and social distancing.

4. Coronavirus symptoms
Deciding whether a cough or sneeze was a sign of the flu, covid-19 or allergies was at the top of readers’ minds this year. Early in the pandemic, our story about the difference between symptoms of the coronavirus and those of spring allergies (above), was highly read. More recent advice that covers the flu, can be found here.

5. Mouthwash and covid-19
Some research suggests that covid patients can reduce the possibility that they will spread the disease by using oral antiseptic rinses. Experts greeted the results with “cautious optimism,” but noted that the lab studies might not be replicated in real-world situations and that no one should be abandoning masks or using mouthwash to excess.

6. HIIT and belly fat
Readers remained concerned about other aspects of their health and wondered what science says about the ability of high intensity interval training to burn excess belly fat, which is the kind of fat that can increase your risk for conditions such as diabetes and heart disease.

7. Maintaining muscle
This story about regaining the loss of muscle that comes with aging also was welcomed by readers, many of whom gave their own recommendations in the comments.

8. Why you can’t boost your immune system to fight covid-19
Many food products and supplements claim to boost your immune system, which can be tempting to customers in fear of contracting a serious illness such as covid-19. But “boosting” your immune system isn’t really possible; your goal should be a normally functioning immune system that can effectively fight infection, not an overactive one, which could lead to an autoimmune disorder.

9. Checking into the hospital
After contracting the coronavirus, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie said he checked himself into a hospital. Many readers were curious about whether folks can actually do that. (Short answer: no.)

10. Regaining your motivation to exercise
Exercise may have fallen by the wayside as Netflix binges and stress baking emerged as popular activities (and coping mechanisms) during the pandemic. But many readers know that staying active is important to keep immune systems in top shape and provides positive physical and mental health benefits, so they turned to this article for advice.

11. Dry hands and coronavirus
Early in the pandemic, we were washing our hands so often that they were chapping although it was springtime. Now, with winter here, it’s a good time to revisit this article about why keeping your hands moisturized is important as well.

12. Which doctor’s appointments to keep
Readers were interested in guidance about which appointments can be accommodated with telemedicine. Experts really wanted to get across the message that some appointments, such as cancer screening, blood tests, physical therapy appointments and dental checkups, should not be delayed too long. And don’t hesitate to go to an emergency room or urgent care clinic.

Saturday, January 02, 2021

Today's Tweet



It's a truly glorious dream


Let's Get Active


WaPo:
Judge dismisses Gohmert lawsuit seeking to stymie Biden electoral college count

A federal judge in Texas has dismissed a long-shot lawsuit by Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-Tex.) that sought to overturn the presidential election, saying neither the congressman nor his allies have legal standing to pursue the case.

The judge’s Friday night ruling tosses out what many election law experts considered a far-fetched theory to challenge the formal mechanism by which President-elect Joe Biden will be affirmed as the winner of the race for president.

U.S. District Judge Jeremy D. Kernodle issued an order dismissing the case because, he found, neither Gohmert nor his fellow plaintiffs have a sufficient legal stake in the process to justify the lawsuit. Kernodle was nominated to the federal bench by President Trump.

The judge’s ruling comes less than 12 hours after lawyers for Gohmert filed court papers arguing that Vice President Pence has far more power than the government claims to alter the outcome of the presidential election. Gohmert’s lawyers filed a notice of appeal later Friday night.

The piece goes on to explain just how silly the court sees this latest attempt to be, and that (basically) making shit up about what you presuppose will happen isn't a good premise in law.

But here's the thing:
For better than 25 years, "conservatives" have spent lots of time and energy and money making loud noises about how much they hate "judicial activism" - what they say is the courts making law.

But those same "conservatives" are constantly petitioning the courts to do exactly that - create law, made-to-order, custom-fit and purpose-built to support the Republicans' ambitions.

Republicans are acting like they hired those judges to be their own private contractors who're paid to do whatever the GOP tells them to do.

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   562,259 (⬆︎ .68%)
  • New Deaths:      9,507 (⬆︎ .52%)
USA
  • New Cases:   166,044 (⬆︎ .82%)
  • New Deaths:      2,129 (⬆︎ .61%)
The continuing weirdness:
Half a million new cases in the world, 30% of which are here in USAmerica Inc.
9,500 new deaths - more than 20% of those are American...

...and we're all like




Unfortunately, living in this world, we have to account for the kind of total jackwad who gets it in his head that fucking with people like this is a good idea:


Wisconsin pharmacist who ‘intentionally’ spoiled more than 500 vaccine doses is arrested, police say

A pharmacist accused of deliberately spoiling more than 500 doses of coronavirus vaccine at a hospital outside Milwaukee was arrested Thursday afternoon, local authorities said.

Police in Grafton, Wis., arrested the unnamed man on recommended charges of first-degree recklessly endangering safety, adulterating a prescription drug and criminal damage to property. He is being held in the county jail, according to a statement from the police department.

The alleged episode, at Aurora Medical Center in Grafton, Wis., touched off anger nationwide as limited supplies of shots are rationed for high-risk individuals. The estimated value of the doses, which authorities said totaled as much as $11,000, pales in comparison to the protection they might have offered to health-care workers on the front lines of the intensifying pandemic.

The alleged tampering will delay inoculation for hundreds of people, health officials said, in a state where 3,810 new cases were reported and 42 people died Thursday of covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus, according to a state dashboard.

The pharmacist was dismissed earlier this week by the health-care system, Aurora Health Care. And authorities said he admitted in writing that he had removed 57 vaccine vials “knowing that if not properly stored the vaccine would be ineffective.” Police said they were withholding the man’s name until he was formally advised of the charges pending against him.

Aurora Health officials had previously been silent on the person’s motives, but the details of his alleged behavior became more grim with each update. At first, the incident, in which 57 vaccine vials were discovered Saturday left outside a refrigerator, appeared to be an honest mistake. Each vial has enough for 10 vaccinations but can remain at room temperature for only 12 hours and, once thawed, cannot be refrozen.

Hundreds of doses were discarded, but some were quickly administered, Aurora Health officials said.

On Wednesday, the health system announced its finding that the act was intentional. And on Thursday, Aurora Health leaders said the vials had been removed not once but twice, raising doubts about the effectiveness of the several dozen shots administered Saturday.

Addressing reporters Thursday, Jeff Bahr, the president of Aurora Health Care Medical Group, called the pharmacist a “bad actor.”

Police in Grafton, a village of about 12,000 that lies 20 miles north of Milwaukee, said their investigation was aided by the FBI and the Food and Drug Administration. Leonard Peace, an FBI spokesman in Milwaukee, would not comment on the FBI’s involvement but said of the episode, “We’re aware of it.” The FDA also was aware, said a spokeswoman, Stephanie Caccomo, who similarly declined to address the existence of an investigation. She directed questions to the hospital.

Initiating an internal review earlier this week, hospital officials said they were initially “led to believe” the incident was caused by “inadvertent human error.” The vials of the Moderna vaccine, they thought, had simply been left out overnight Friday, and they rushed to administer doses they believed at the time were still usable. They used nearly 60 and discarded the rest, Bahr said.

As the review continued, he said, “we became increasingly suspicious of the behavior of the individual in question.”

The employee was suspended and on Wednesday “admitted to intentionally removing the vaccine from refrigeration,” Bahr said. The person, he added, also admitted to removing and returning the vaccine to refrigeration the previous night, Christmas Eve.

That acknowledgment, he said, made clear that the nearly five dozen people who received shots on Dec. 26 may not gain full protection. He said Aurora Health was working with Moderna and the FDA to “figure out a strategy” for ensuring these people are thoroughly inoculated against the virus. He also said each of those individuals had been contacted.

Bahr said there was otherwise “no evidence that the vaccinations pose any harm to them other than being less effective or ineffective.”

He said he was “not able to make any judgments on motive at this time.”

Tara C. Smith, an epidemiologist at Kent State University and an authority on antipathy toward vaccines, said the incident will prompt medical providers to reassess who has access to the shots, even among their own employees.

“Hopefully, this is a one-off, but I’m sure places will now have to think about whether those handling the vaccines are trusted, in addition to making sure supplies are under camera surveillance,” she said.

Security has been paramount in state planning, officials say. When Wisconsin began receiving vaccine shipments in December, the health department did not disclose the eight regional hubs receiving the bulk of the materials.

Julie Willems Van Dijk, the deputy secretary of Wisconsin’s Department of Health Services, said at a Dec. 14 news conference, “This is precious vaccine. We do not want to create any security risks.” She said the state had consulted with the Department of Homeland Security on the plans.

On Thursday, Wisconsin Health Secretary-designee Andrea Palm said her department has worked with Aurora Health officials as they “investigated the situation, reviewed their processes and implemented improvements.”

“It is disappointing that any covid-19 vaccine was wasted in Wisconsin,” she added in a statement to The Washington Post.

The Wisconsin incident comes as states continue to grapple with a bumpy rollout of vaccine, which is being prioritized for health-care workers and residents and staffers at long-term-care facilities. So far, distribution has lagged far behind federal projections, as the Trump administration failed to make good its promise to deliver shots to 20 million people by the end of the year.

As of Wednesday, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said 12.4 million doses of the vaccine had been distributed across the United States, but only 2.8 million of those had been administered. Trump administration officials have said these numbers lag behind the actual pace of vaccination, which they also vowed would accelerate starting next week.

The Moderna and Pfizer-BioNTech vaccines, the first two regimens to gain U.S. regulatory approval for emergency use, are two-shot protocols with intricate logistical requirements. Moderna’s vaccine does not require subarctic temperatures, as does the Pfizer product, but it does need to be kept cold. It can be stored at freezer temperatures for six months, the company says, and kept at regular refrigerated conditions for 30 days. It can be maintained at room temperature for only 12 hours, though, and can’t be refrozen once thawed.

Complex storage requirements are among the reasons state officials are imploring providers to administer vaccine quickly once it is received. Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers (D), taking to Twitter last week to celebrate the start of shipments of Moderna’s vaccine, said it marked “another step forward in fighting this pandemic.”

In its original statement Monday, Aurora Health said it had successfully vaccinated about 17,000 people over the previous 12 days. Its initial review, it said, had found that the 57 vials were simply left out overnight by the employee after “temporarily being removed to access other items.”

The system serves eastern Wisconsin and northern Illinois, and includes 15 hospitals and more than 150 clinics, according to its website. Bahr said the specific hospital where the incident occurred received no vaccine before Dec. 24.

The health system apologized, saying, “We are clearly disappointed and regret this happened.”

The asshole's name is Steven Brandenburg.

He intentionally spoiled vaccine, and then he allowed the spoiled doses to be administered to patients.

I want the cops to find out exactly what's up with that guy. I want them to keep him in the interrogation room until he spills his guts. I want him charged, tried and convicted. And then I want him burned alive - on pay-per-view.

Friday, January 01, 2021

Today's Tweet



I can't think of anything more terrifying right now than "..we now have a whole ward of children here."

The Generation Gap


When you say "socialism" to a millennial, they don't associate that word with the USSR and the Cold War and all the bad shit boomers grew up with.

"Socialism", to a millennial, means Canada and Switzerland and Healthcare and College Opportunities and Affordable Housing and Social Security and a Living Wage and Equality.

Big difference.

EVOLUTION
It's not just a good idea
it's the law

From Outa The Past

Not that long ago.

Tess Rafferty wrote this piece on November 10th, 2016, 48 hours after the election.


And into the very near future - Dana Milbank, WaPo:

Meet the Trump saboteur in charge of undermining Biden — and America


If, in the new year, pandemic vaccines aren’t available as promised, Americans can’t return to work because economic relief isn’t delivered or an adversary successfully attacks the United States because national security agencies couldn’t pay for new defenses, a hefty share of the blame should be placed on a man you’ve probably never heard of: One Russell Thurlow Vought.

As President Trump’s budget director, he conspicuously failed in his stated goal of controlling the debt. Despite his efforts, the debt increased by $6 trillion on his two-year watch as director of the Office of Management and Budget, the biggest jump in history.

He also has been disastrous in his fiscal forecasts. On Feb. 10, he predicted 2.8 percent growth for the year, saying, “our view is that, at this point, coronavirus is not something that is going to have ripple effects.” A few weeks later, the economy collapsed.

But what Russ Vought is very good at is sabotage. He’s sabotaging national security, the pandemic response and the economic recovery — all to make things more difficult for the incoming Biden administration. That he’s also sabotaging the country seems not to matter to Vought, who has spent nearly two decades as a right-wing bomb thrower.

He has blocked civil servants at OMB from cooperating with the Biden transition, denying President-elect Joe Biden the policy analysis and budget-preparation assistance given to previous presidents-elect, including Barack Obama and Trump himself. Transition figures warn that it will likely delay and hamper economic and pandemic relief and national security preparation (the Pentagon is the other key agency resisting transition cooperation with the incoming administration).

Thursday afternoon, Vought released a bombastic letter accusing the Biden transition of making “false statements” about OMB’s uncooperativeness — and then essentially confirming that it would not cooperate: “What we have not done and will not do is use current OMB staff to write the [Biden transition’s] legislative policy proposals to dismantle this Administration’s work. . . . Redirecting staff and resources to draft your team’s budget proposals is not an OMB transition responsibility. Our system of government has one President and one Administration at a time.”

Nobody should have expected otherwise from Vought.

He was the author of a Sept. 4 memo attacking critical race theory and canceling racial sensitivity programs, which he called “divisive, anti-American propaganda.” The issue, apparently prompted by a segment Trump viewed on Fox News, became key to the final weeks of Trump’s race-baiting campaign.

Vought was also the mastermind of Trump’s executive order that attempts to reclassify tens of thousands of civil servants who work in policy roles so they can be easily fired. Vought has proposed reclassifying 88 percent of OMB staff (425 people).

He was a key figure in the Ukraine imbroglio, freezing military aid to the country as Trump pushed for Ukraine’s president to announce a probe of Joe and Hunter Biden and the Democrats. The Government Accountability Office determined the budgetary freeze violated the Impoundment Control Act. Vought also ignored a subpoena during the impeachment inquiry.

Vought’s 2017 nomination to be OMB deputy director (he later served 18 months as acting director and has served five as director) was nearly undone over a 2016 article in which he wrote: “Muslims do not simply have a deficient theology. They do not know God because they have rejected Jesus Christ, his Son, and they stand condemned.”

Vought spent seven years on the vanguard of conservative extremism as a senior official at Heritage Action, the political wing of the Heritage Foundation. The group fought GOP leadership and pushed lawmakers into unyielding positions.

During that time, Vought wrote a series of rambling posts for RedState.com arguing that “incrementalism doesn’t work for the right,” that Republicans “are fundamentally in their DNA unwilling to fight” and that Republicans needed to have “a willingness” to shut the government down. He exhorted Republicans to “embrace the sort of brinkmanship that shows they are playing to win.” He railed against a 2012 infrastructure bill as “communism.”

Before Heritage, Vought worked for the right-wing House Republican Study Committee whose job, he said, “is to push leadership as far to the right as is possible and flat out oppose it when necessary.”

He has continued to lob grenades from inside the White House. At an antiabortion rally, he claimed credit for blocking Planned Parenthood’s funding. He infuriated Democrats by refusing to share projections with Congress.

But when it comes to governing, Vought has been a loser. He ran the botched White House response to the 2019 government shutdown, issuing legally dubious decisions and, as one Republican budget expert told The Post, “making up the rules as they go along.” It became the longest-ever shutdown and ended in Trump’s surrender.

Now Vought is intentionally botching the transition, without regard for the dire consequences Americans could suffer. This is what happens when you put an arsonist in charge of the fire department.

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   738,739 (⬆︎ .89%) 🏆 NEW RECORD!! 🎇
  • New Deaths:    13,552 (⬆︎ .75%)
USA
  • New Cases:   228,413 (⬆︎ 1.13%)
  • New Deaths:      3,438 (⬆︎   .98%)
Projections, at today's Growth Rate

1st week in February
  • Total Cases:                  30,000,000
  • Total Dead Americans:       500,000
About a month later
  • Total Cases:                  40,000,000
  • Total Dead Americans:       650,000



NYT: (pay wall)

The U.S. enters 2021 playing catch-up with its vaccine distribution.

The United States begins the new year far behind schedule in its coronavirus vaccine rollout, having distributed shots to a mere fraction of the 20 million it had hoped to reach by this time, even as the nation hit a grim new milestone on New Year’s Eve: 20 million cases since the start of the pandemic.

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, about 2.8 million people have received their first dose, though that number may be somewhat low because of lags in reporting. Federal officials, who said that their goal was to have 20 million people receive their first shot by the end of 2020, said they do not fully understand the cause of the delays and have denied that they are to blame. Officials behind Operation Warp Speed, the federal effort to fast-track vaccines, have said that their job was to ensure that vaccines are made available and get shipped out to the states.

But state health officials and hospital leaders throughout the country pointed to several factors for the lag. States have held back doses to be given out to their nursing homes and other long-term care facilities, an effort that is just gearing up and expected to take several months. Across the country, just 8 percent of the doses distributed for use in these facilities have been administered, with two million yet to be given.

The holiday season has meant that people are off work and clinics have reduced hours, slowing the pace of vaccine administration. In Florida, for example, the demand for the vaccines dipped over the Christmas holiday and is expected to dip again over New Year’s, Gov. Ron DeSantis said on Wednesday.

Public health experts say that federal officials have left many of the details of the final stage of the vaccine distribution process, such as scheduling and staffing, to overstretched local health officials and hospitals. The result is a series of notable blunders.

In one case, 42 people in West Virginia who were scheduled to receive the coronavirus vaccine on Wednesday were instead mistakenly injected with an experimental monoclonal antibody treatment.

In another, a pharmacist at a Wisconsin hospital was arrested for allegedly removing hundreds of vaccine doses from refrigeration, intentionally spoiling them. As of Thursday, the pharmacist’s motive was unclear.

The task of administering thousands of vaccines in the United States is daunting for health departments that have already been overburdened by responding to the pandemic. In Montgomery County, Md., the local health department has recruited extra staff to help manage vaccine distribution, said Travis Gayles, the county health officer.

“While we’re trying to roll out vaccinations, we’re also continuing the pandemic response by supporting testing, contact tracing, disease control and all of those other aspects of the Covid response,” Dr. Gayles said.

The United States is not alone in its plight to distribute vaccines. President Emmanuel Macron of France also faced growing criticism for the sluggishness of France’s rollout. Fewer than 200 people have received doses there since Sunday, when the European Union officially began its campaign to distribute shots to its 410 million citizens. Germany has inoculated nearly 80,000 over the same period.

By contrast, the pace of Israel’s vaccination program is far outstripping the rest of the world. Nearly 10 percent of Israel’s population has received the first of two doses of the Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine after the program began there on Dec. 20.

In a news conference on Wednesday, Operation Warp Speed officials said they expected the pace of the rollout in the United States to accelerate significantly once pharmacies begin offering vaccines in their stores. The federal government has reached agreements with a number of pharmacy chains — including Costco, Walmart and CVS — to administer vaccines once they become more widely available. So far, 40,000 pharmacy locations have enrolled in that program.

We may yet pull it out, but as of today, there's real potential that we'll see a million dead by Summer.

A New Year


It's understandable to think we're past the worst of it and that we can look forward to so much better in the coming year, but we might do better thinking 2020 was not some weird anomaly.

There's more than a fair probability that what happened last year was actually a glimpse of just how close to the abyss we're dancing.

So...