Oct 30, 2020

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   545,936 (⬆︎ 1.22%)
  • New Deaths:      7,172 (⬆︎   .61%)
USA
  • New Cases:   91,530 (⬆︎ 1.00%) 🥳 NEW RECORD! 🎉
  • New Deaths:    1,047 (⬆︎   .45%)





Donald Trump Jr. said covid-19 deaths are at ‘almost nothing.’
The virus killed more than 1,000 Americans the same day

Donald Trump Jr. declared on Thursday night that coronavirus deaths had dropped to “almost nothing,” questioning the seriousness of the pandemic on a record-breaking day for new cases in which more than 1,000 Americans died of the virus.

Speaking to Fox News host Laura Ingraham, Trump Jr. pointed to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that he suggested show a declining coronavirus death rate.

“I went through the CDC data, because I kept hearing about new infections, but I was like, ‘Why aren’t they talking about this?’ ” Trump Jr. said. “Oh, because the number is almost nothing. Because we’ve gotten control of this thing, we understand how it works. They have the therapeutics to be able to deal with this.”

While medical advances and less-crowded hospitals appear to have reduced the death rate from the early days of the pandemic, scientists warn it’s not clear whether that’s a long-term trend, The Washington Post reported. As cases surge across the United States, fatalities are often a lagging data point for CDC researchers, and reports can be incomplete in capturing the actual rate at which people are dying from the virus and its complications.

Physicians are also fearful that the latest burst in new cases, including a record 89,940 on Thursday, will lead to a greater number of deaths in the coming weeks, according to the New York Times.

“This is still a high death rate, much higher than we see for flu or other respiratory diseases,” Leora Horwitz, director of NYU Langone’s Center for Healthcare Innovation and Delivery Science, told the Times of the current death rate. “I don’t want to pretend this is benign.”

On Thursday night, though, the president’s eldest son pointed to a post from his Instagram account that he argued painted a more clear picture of the present state of a pandemic that has killed at least 228,000 people in the United States.

“If you look at my Instagram,” he said, “it’s gone to almost nothing."


At least 1,063 people in the United States died of the novel coronavirus on Thursday, the second-highest daily total for October, and 5,668 have died in the past seven days. This week has also featured two consecutive days of more than 1,000 deaths, marking the second time that has happened in as many weeks, according to The Post’s coronavirus tracker.

The discussion on Fox was sparked by an earlier segment on CNN, when Sanjay Gupta advised President Trump’s supporters not to attend his rallies. Gupta, the network’s chief medical correspondent, reported that new coronavirus cases had increased 82 percent of the time in counties that hosted a total of 17 rallies for the president between August and September. The infection rate in those counties had also climbed at a faster clip than the overall rate for their state, CNN reported.

Gupta noted that if anyone had been to one of Trump’s outdoor rallies, which have attracted thousands of maskless supporters not adhering to social distancing recommendations, they should assume they have been exposed to the coronavirus and quarantine for 14 days.

“Don’t go to these rallies,” Gupta said. “Look, just about anywhere in the country now, if you go to a gathering that’s several hundred people, it’s without a doubt the virus is attending that rally with you.”

On Fox, Ingraham said that Gupta’s words, along with Minnesota’s covid-19 guidelines capping the number of attendees at the president’s planned Friday rally to 250 people, was “a part of a larger media effort” to discourage attendance at Trump rallies. The president later tweeted his displeasure over the Minnesota limitations.

“Don, is he kidding me?” Ingraham asked Trump Jr., referring to Gupta. “They are pulling out all the stops. Now the virus is attending the rally. Apparently, they’re waving flags, too.” She added later, “A tragedy is not a reason to take people away from their candidate.” Trump Jr. scoffed at Gupta, calling him a “moron.”

Trump Jr.’s claim that death rates were now at “almost nothing,” captured in a clip that had been viewed more than 2 million times as of early Friday, prompted a strong response from critics and medical experts.

Alexis C. Madrigal, a staff writer at the Atlantic, concluded that Trump Jr.'s statement “may result from a common misinterpretation of CDC provisional death counts,” noting that incomplete data for recent weeks would incorrectly show deaths to be in decline.

Ashish K. Jha, a physician and the dean of the Brown University School of Public Health, suggested the claim showed a lack of empathy.

“I realize I am naive,” Jha tweeted. “But I’m still shocked by the casualness by which our political and media leaders and their families dismiss the daily deaths of nearly a thousand Americans.”

BTW - this is not what rounding the corner looks like:




Today's Quote


Give not thyself up, then, to fire, lest it invert thee, deaden thee, as for the time it did me. There is a wisdom that is woe; but there is a woe that is madness.
- Herman Melville, Moby Dick

Oct 29, 2020

What Is Understood

... needs no explanation.

The racists hear exactly what is being said.

QAnon Illustrated

It begins

And it ends


The Immortal Samuel L Jackson

I hope he lives forever cuz there will never be another one like him.





COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   504,412 (⬆︎ 1.14%)
  • New Deaths:      7,122 (⬆︎   .61%)

USA
  • New Cases:   81,581 (⬆︎ .90%) 🎉 NEW RECORD! 🥳
  • New Deaths:    1,030 (⬆︎ .44%)






Fauci expresses support for national mask mandate for the first time amid record-setting coronavirus infections

Anthony S. Fauci, the nation’s top infectious-disease expert, said for the first time Wednesday that the United States needs a nationwide mask mandate to combat the rising tide of coronavirus infections. In interviews with CNBC and the Journal of the American Medical Association, Fauci expressed regret that masks haven’t been adopted more widely and suggested that doing so would be key to avoiding another round of shutdowns.


Other Stuff:
  • With five days to go before Election Day on Nov. 3, President Trump and his Democratic challenger Joe Biden have crystallized opposing messages on a pandemic that has affected most aspects of American life, including voting.
  • Germany and France announced month-long lockdowns on Wednesday, saying that the resurgence of infections had spiraled out of control.
  • Taiwan celebrated its 200th day with no locally transmitted coronavirus infections, a milestone no other nation has reached. The country never went into lockdown, which experts say was due to its swift response, widespread mask use and close tracking of cases.
  • Health officials say the White House called off an investigation into its coronavirus outbreak, while failing to notify people who may have been exposed.
  • The United States has seen a steady increase in coronavirus infections and hospitalizations for almost the entire month of October, with record-high numbers of cases reported in the past week, according to data tracked by The Washington Post. More than 80,000 new cases were recorded on Wednesday, pushing the total number of infections past 8.8 million. At least 227,000 fatalities have been linked to the virus since February.
  • A federal government briefing document obtained by The Washington Post suggests that a traveler could theoretically drive all the way from the Canadian border to northern Mississippi without ever leaving a “hot-spot” county.

Today's Ad

Win America back - Interview 2020

Oct 28, 2020

Today's Tweet



In the Age Of Poe - some brilliant satire.

Sportsball


One "good" thing about the current COVID situation is that professional sports have been shoved into the background, which (IMO) is where all of it belongs.

Don't get me wrong, I love those silly games. There's greatness in sport that's important as a way to learn and reinforce life-lessons for us.

But when it becomes an obsession, or we substitute a game for our actual lived experience, then we lose perspective and it becomes a real problem. Bread-n-circus and all that.

So anyway, we've crowned an NBA champion, and a hockey champion, and now a baseball champion - all of which has gone almost unnoticed, and the unnoticing of which I think is an OK thing. 

It's still there. The scribes have written it all down. It's just that there's no great chunk of intellectual or spiritual real estate being occupied as team owners and TV executives demand we pay billions of dollars just to watch grown men chasing small inanimate objects around.

I'm just sayin' - anyway:

Dodgers top Rays in Game 6, claim their first World Series title since 1988

ARLINGTON, Tex. — Validation came at 10:37 p.m. Central time, wearing the classic home whites of the Los Angeles Dodgers and streaming out of the first base dugout for a dogpile near the pitcher’s mound of Globe Life Field. The World Series was over. The Dodgers’ tortuous, 32-year wait for another championship was over. The 2020 baseball season, bent and misshapen by a global pandemic, was over. And validation had arrived to drape itself on each and every one of them.

“This is our year!” Manager Dave Roberts roared at the trophy presentation.

The line for validation was long and illustrious in the wake of the Dodgers’ 3-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 6 of the 116th World Series, and all of them — the players, the manager, the brain trust, the franchise and the sport itself — would get their turn.


But before that could happen, there were other matters to deal with — this being a baseball season being played in a pandemic. As the Dodgers celebrated their championship on the field, many of them wearing masks, one key figure was missing: Third baseman Justin Turner, the longest-tenured Dodgers position player, had been pulled before the seventh inning after his latest coronavirus test came back positive, a result that arrived midgame. He was immediately put in isolation but was later spotted on the field celebrating with his teammates.

“It’s a bittersweet night for us,” Commissioner Rob Manfred told Fox Sports on the field. “ … We learned during the game that Justin was a positive. He was immediately isolated to prevent spread.”

It was the first positive test for a player in more than six weeks, and coming in the middle of the final game of the World Series — it was perhaps a fitting conclusion to a season that at times seemed endangered by the spread of the virus. It also appears baseball barely avoided a messy outcome had the series been extended to a seventh game.

And for a while Tuesday night, Game 7 seemed to be a strong possibility. The fact the series never got there was due in large part to the stunning and highly questionable pitching move the Rays made in the bottom of the sixth inning, when they pulled ace Blake Snell from a magnificent performance — a move that backfired immediately when the next two Dodgers hitters, Mookie Betts and Corey Seager, gave Los Angeles the lead.

“I’m not going to ask any questions,” Betts said of the Rays’ pitching change. “[Snell] was pitching a great game … They made a pitching change. It seems like that’s all we needed.”

Maybe the Dodgers would have won anyway if the Rays — who make no apologies for their analytic bent and data-driven decision-making — had left Snell alone. But no one will ever know.

“Analytics is a huge part of our success,” Rays center fielder Kevin Kiermaier said. “And sometimes it can bite you in the butt.”

In any case, few who watched this series could walk away with any other conclusion than the better team prevailed in the end — an outcome that itself provided a measure of validation for the legitimacy of the 60-game regular season and 16-team postseason, both of which were dominated by the Dodgers.

“This team has been incredible all throughout the season. … We never stopped,” said shortstop Corey Seager, who was named World Series MVP, adding that trophy to the one he earned as MVP of the National League Championship Series. “You can’t say enough about what we did this year.”

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   459,003 (⬆︎ 1.05%)
  • New Deaths:      7,032 (⬆︎   .60%)

USA
  • New Cases:   75,072 (⬆︎ .84%)
  • New Deaths:       1,093 (⬆︎ .60%)
And now we're over the 9 million mark here in USAmerica Inc.




And gosh - looks like the virus travels. It's almost like Robert Bakker was right 30 years ago when he postulated his theory of extinction by migration. Those wacky scientists, right? Whaddaya gonna do?


Senior Trump official tests positive for coronavirus after trip to Europe

A senior Trump administration official tested positive for the coronavirus after a recent trip to Britain, Hungary and France, raising concerns about the spread of the virus to high-level officials across the Atlantic, according to four U.S. and foreign officials familiar with the situation.

Peter Berkowitz, the director of policy planning at the State Department, met with senior officials at 10 Downing Street and the Foreign Office in London, and with officials in Budapest and Paris earlier this month. One official said that Berkowitz’s mask-wearing and social distancing practices were lax during the trip and that U.S. embassy staff in Europe expressed some concerns before the trip about him traveling during the pandemic.

A State Department spokeswoman denied that Berkowitz’s mask usage was insufficient and said precautions were taken. She, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss individual coronavirus infections.

wear your mask
keep your distance
wash your hands

what's so fuckin' hard about this?

Oct 27, 2020

Today's Mashup


The Undecided

College Humor

What you idiots sound like to the rest of us.

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The Lincoln Project - Last Call

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Wow

"Justice" Barrett


The Roberts court isn't really a court anymore. It's a repository for political activists who've been rewarded for their fealty to a particular ideological slant, rather than to the ideals of justice for all.


Now the ball is in the court’s court.

Monday’s Senate confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, preceded by a pell-mell scramble to seat her before next week’s election and followed by an unseemly campaign-style celebration at the White House, shreds whatever remained of the high court’s integrity and independence.

Whether the court regains its independence or cements itself as a third partisan branch of government is now largely up to Chief Justice John Roberts. If he does not act, and fast, to mitigate the court’s politicization, Democrats will be fully justified in expanding the court’s membership to restore balance — and indeed will face a public outcry if they don’t.

The Barrett spectacle could not have been uglier. It began with a superspreader event at the White House after which a dozen people, including President Trump, contracted covid-19. Trump insisted on naming a replacement even before Ruth Bader Ginsburg was in her grave, and he belittled the late justice’s granddaughter for conveying the women’s rights icon’s dying wish that Trump not replace her. (Mercifully, the White House shelved a plan to have Vice President Pence, whose staff is having a covid-19 outbreak, preside over Monday evening’s confirmation vote.)

Senate Republicans rammed through Barrett eight days before an election Trump seems likely to lose, and even though Trump has made clear he’s counting on the Supreme Court to overturn the result. They did this in an extraordinary public display of hypocrisy, four years after refusing to seat an Obama nominee to the high court because, they said then, that doing so more than eight months before an election was too soon. And they did this after abolishing the minority’s right to filibuster.

Barrett, in her confirmation hearing, made a mockery of the supposed “originalism” and “textualism” she professes to practice. She conspicuously refused to say whether a president could unilaterally postpone an election and whether voter intimidation is illegal — matters unarguable under the clear words of the Constitution and statutes.

In the long, desultory debate before Barrett’s inevitable Senate confirmation Monday, few even pretended they were engaged in some historic or noble tradition. The debate sounded more like a medical conference as Democrats warned about the many conditions that might not be covered if Barrett strikes down the Affordable Care Act after it comes before the court in two weeks.

Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.) spoke about “sleep apnea, asthma, pre-diabetes, complex post-traumatic stress disorder and hypothyroidism.”

Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Md.) spoke of “cancer, diabetes, high blood pressure, behavioral health disorders, high cholesterol, asthma, chronic lung disease, heart disease.”

“Muscular dystrophy,” Sen. Richard Blumenthal (D-Conn.) contributed. “Endometriosis.”

“Cystic fibrosis,” added Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.).

Republican Sen. Bill Cassidy (La.) countered with a speech about breast-cancer awareness. “The primary risk factor for breast cancer is being a woman,” he informed the chamber. He encouraged women to examine themselves for “the change in the look or feel of a breast, or possible discharge from the nipple, the presence of a lump, swelling, discoloration.”

Breast health is important, but for the matter immediately at hand — the health of the Supreme Court — this Senate and this president have administered only toxins.

If the chief justice wishes to restore dignity to the Roberts Court, it’s clear enough what needs to be done:

He can lean heavily on Barrett to recuse herself from any case arising from the presidential election next week.

He can use his influence to make sure the court upholds the Affordable Care Act after it hears arguments next month — not a legalistic punt on technical matters of “severability” but a ruling that puts an end to the constant assaults on Obamacare.

He can persuade his conservative colleagues to join him in upholding the rights of LGBTQ Americans as established in the 2015 Obergefell case, by rejecting a challenge to it by Catholic Social Services that will be argued the morning after the election next week.

He can forge a majority to reject Trump’s latest tired attempt to use the Supreme Court to further delay handing over his financial records to New York prosecutors.

And he and his colleagues can agree to hear one of the many challenges to Roe v. Wade now making their way through lower courts — and vote to uphold Roe for now. That would be the surest sign that the Roberts Court is not going to turn (immediately at least) into the reactionary caricature that most expect.

If Roberts and his conservative allies on the court don’t do at least some of this in the next few months, they can count on being joined next year by a whole batch of new colleagues. Mr. Chief Justice, and may it please the court: Your move.

What Barrett revealed in her hearings was the very real truth about the big hole in our little experiment: that it runs on the honor system.

The founders assumed there would be bad actors and power-mad phonies who like to fuck with things - just because they think having the power to fuck with things gives them the right to fuck with things - so they tried to build in some safety features, not the least of which is that we all have to agree to abide by the spirit of the law as well as the letter.

But the Right Radicals have been very busy for 50 years dismantling those safety features, and putting people in positions of power who believe they have the right to rule instead of an obligation to serve. And here we are.

The other big reveal is that there's no such thing as "settled law". Everything is subject to review and revision, including everything we thought was enshrined in The Bill Of Rights.

For almost 250 years, we've been expanding the rights of Americans, and now there's a political party dead set on carving them back.

And when you have one political party that has embraced the notion that power is everything - to the point where there are no moral absolutes, and that right vs wrong and justice vs injustice come down to a simple political negotiation driven at least in part by market forces and financial transactions, then honor is out the window, animal instincts carry the day, and we're right back to a mid-18th century plutocracy.

COVID-19 Update

World
  • New Cases:   401,363 (⬆︎ .95%)
  • New Deaths:      5,109 (⬆︎ .44%)

USA
  • New Cases:   69,894 (⬆︎ .79%
  • New Deaths:       529 (⬆︎ .23%)



So President Stoopid's Chief Of Staff, Mark Meadows, goes on TV over the weekend and says we're not going to get a handle on the virus, sounding for all the world like they're either surrendering to it or (more probably, IMO) telling us that we're on our own - don't expect any help from "government" on this or anything else.

Which is perfectly in keeping with the signals coming from the courts now that Mitch McConnell has thoroughly fucked us all over - power is what counts.


Hospitals in nearly every region report a flood of covid-19 patients

Hospitals in many regions of the country — the Upper Midwest, the Mountain West, the Southwest and the heart of Appalachia — are seeing record levels of patients suffering from covid-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus.

More than 42,000 people were hospitalized nationally with the virus Monday, a figure that is steadily climbing toward the midsummer peak caused by massive outbreaks in the Sun Belt. In the places hit the hardest, this is nudging hospitals toward the nightmare scenario of rationing care.

The country is not there yet, but the recent rise in confirmed coronavirus infections — which set a single-day record Saturday of more than 83,000 — is an ominous leading indicator of an imminent surge of patients into hospitals. The pattern of this pandemic has been clear: Infections go up, hospitalization rates follow in a few weeks, and then deaths spike.

The medical community vividly remembers the crisis in New York hospitals in the spring and the catastrophe in northern Italy, where the oldest patients were left untreated so that doctors could try to save younger patients. In Utah, the president of that state’s hospital association, Greg Bell, has warned that within two weeks, the hospitals may have to start rationing care among the most seriously ill patients in intensive care units.

El Paso reached 100 percent hospital capacity Sunday and is setting up field hospitals to handle the overflow of patients. University Medical Center in the Texas city has established a mobile unit in its parking lot to hold covid-19 patients who are almost ready to go home. Officials are hoping to transfer non-covid-19 patients to Children’s Hospital next door. The hospital has 198 covid-19 patients; during the July surge, the maximum was 64.

State officials have dispatched 100 nurses and five doctors to the hospital to help, but the hospital has asked for 45 more nurses, said Joel Hendryx, the chief medical officer.

“Our doctors and nurses have been doing this for over seven months, so talk about covid fatigue,” he said.

The border city, which has seen an explosive outbreak in the past few weeks, reported 1,443 new infections Monday — more than double the cases reported Sunday in more-populous New York. County Judge Ricardo Samaniego on Sunday imposed a 10 p.m. curfew, with exceptions for work or emergencies. Violators will face a fine of $500.

Forty-one states and Puerto Rico have more hospitalized covid-19 patients now than at the end of September, and 22 of those states have seen increases in excess of 50 percent, according to health data analyzed by The Washington Post.

“The data is just going up on hospitalizations, and we are going to run into trouble — it looks like almost inevitably,” Ross McKinney, chief scientific officer of the Association of American Medical Colleges, said Monday.

Rural America is particularly vulnerable. In the entire state of North Dakota, only 25 intensive care unit beds remained staffed and available Monday in the 11 hospitals that have ICUs, according to state data.

Even hospital officials in places not yet in a full-blown crisis are looking with concern at the national trends, worried about a potential drain of experienced nurses who may be lured to other parts of the country to help combat outbreaks.

“WE’RE HEADED IN THE WRONG DIRECTION,” declared a two-page advertisement Sunday in the Tulsa World newspaper, placed by Saint Francis Health System, which operates seven hospitals across Oklahoma. The ad featured a graph that showed the number of coronavirus patients soaring in recent weeks. “We were doing better when we were in this together,” the ad said.

The goal was to prod the public to follow practices such as mask-wearing to limit viral spread, according to Jake Henry Jr., president and chief executive of Saint Francis.

“What we’re seeing is not sustainable,” Henry said Monday.

He said exhausted medical workers get discouraged when they see people in public who are not wearing masks. The city of Tulsa has a mask ordinance — signs are posted outside businesses reminding customers — but suburban jurisdictions do not, nor does the state.

“We’d just like to get everybody going in the same direction,” Henry said.

The pandemic, and President Trump’s handling of it, have emerged as the defining issues of the presidential race, and polling suggests that the crisis is a major drag on the president’s prospects for a second term. Hospitalizations are rising sharply in three electoral battleground states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In Milwaukee, a field hospital has been established at the state fairgrounds to treat overflow covid-19 patients.

Ohio, a traditional bellwether state in presidential elections, joins the other three battlegrounds on a list of the 10 states with the greatest increases in covid-19 hospitalizations since Sept. 30, according to The Post’s data.

Ohio set a new high Monday for hospitalizations since the start of the pandemic. Seven other states Monday also set records: Iowa, Kentucky, Minnesota, New Mexico, South Dakota, West Virginia and Wisconsin. Montana tied its record.

In West Virginia, Clay Marsh, an intensive-care physician who serves as the state’s coronavirus czar, said many people who postponed elective surgeries in the spring, during the initial outbreak, are now taking up some of the hospital capacity. Officials are closely watching the high rate of new infections and know that at some point it might be necessary to stop doing elective surgeries and other procedures that are not urgent, Marsh said.

A midsummer spike in infections affected mainly younger adults, but much of the recent surge has been in older people, Marsh said. He said he believes there has been a gradual spread from younger people to their elders, including community spread in houses of worship and in nursing homes.

“We’re seeing that covid positivity is moving toward an older population, and we have a very vulnerable older population,” Marsh said. “That’s the population we’ve always been very nervous about.”

In Michigan, hospitalizations have jumped 80 percent in recent weeks, causing particular concern in the more rural parts of the state, where some hospitals “are being inundated with patients,” said Gary Roth, chief medical officer for the Michigan Health and Hospital Association.

“Are we getting concerned regarding the increasing numbers, the surging of patients coming into the hospitals? Absolutely,” he said.

At hospitals across the state, the greatest worry is about health-care workers who have only just begun to recover from the stress of the first coronavirus surge.

“One thing that we’ve noticed, particularly in the areas that got hit hard by covid, is it caused a lot of scar tissue for our health-care workers,” said David Wood, chief medical officer at Beaumont Health in southeast Michigan, where hospitals neared capacity during the spring. “Seeing the amount of death in such a short period of time, by what seemed like an entity that we had no defenses against, has made it more difficult to get the health-care workers necessary to want to come back and be back in that same position.”

At University of Utah Health in Salt Lake City, the hospital had about 20 covid-19 patients at the end of August. The numbers started rising three to four weeks ago, with 52 covid-19 patients Monday, said Russell Vinik, chief medical operations officer.

The hospital is mostly using existing staffing, and the workers are overtaxed, Vinik said. Nurses are on mandatory on call, and a third team has been added to staff a surge intensive care unit that opened two weeks ago.

“This is doable for a short period of time, but for a long period of time, it really wears down our staff,” Vinik said. “They are physically and emotionally exhausted.”

He lamented that mask-wearing “is still not as compliant as we’d like, particularly outside Salt Lake County. We have big families in Utah, and big family gatherings, and what we’ve seen is the majority of the transmission comes from household gatherings. That’s a culture that needs to change, to make some sacrifices.”

The fall surge nationally has been propelled by colder weather, the reopening of schools and colleges, the broad migration indoors, patchy-at-best adherence to mask-wearing and other public health guidelines, and the general chaos and confusion of the national response.

wear your mask
keep your distance
wash your hands

Seems pretty simple - why are making this shit difficult?

Oct 26, 2020

Today's Pix

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A fairy tale - like the originals - the ones that aren't all cleaned up and made "Family-Friendly"

The Lincoln Project: