Today's Keith

The spinning of yarn has gotten so crazy, we'll be lucky not to get smothered to death under an Afghan that an infinite number of grandmas couldn't hook in an infinite number of coffee klatches.

I'm not sure if that makes any sense, but go ahead and point to anything that makes any fuckin' sense right now.

It doesn't square because it's not supposed to square.

Daddy State Awareness

• The Daddy State lies as a means of demonstrating power.
• The lies have practically nothing to do with the subject of the lies.
• Lying about everything creates chaos, which helps condition us to stop thinking, and look to them for "guidance".
• Once we're totally dependent on them, we'll accept the premise that they can do anything they want.

The goal is to destroy reality

so they can dictate reality to us

The Daddy State on Social Media

The basic MAGA formula gets pretty simple.

• Deny deny deny
• Project project project

Daddy State Awareness Guide, Rule 1

Every accusation is a confession

Today's WTF

What fuckin' idiot thinks dangerous criminals are congregating at the local day-surgery clinic?

He's Crazy

Trump bounces from Bad Comic to Absolute Shitheel to I Need To Get Down To The Day Room And Take My Thorazine.

He says whatever floats into his "consciousness". And you can count on it being some really weird translation of his even weirder perception of history, or whatever's going on now, or what he fantasizes he wants to happen tomorrow.

I guess 'fantasy' is the operative word here. And I'll say it again:

Trump is a Reality TV Game Show Host, and he thinks every day is just another episode. Whatever he wants reality to be, he just "conceptualizes" it and seems to believe the writers have given him a new script that changes whatever actually happened into something he wanted to have happened - or they just write it out of existence altogether.

Tim Walz had it right - "These guys are weird". But he needed to take one step beyond that and reinforce for us the Daddy State ugliness of what Trump and his merry band of thugs are really up to.

Trump Claims Nazis Treated Jewish Prisoners With “Love”

Donald Trump made the unbelievable claim during a press conference with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

In his latest rewrite of European history, Donald Trump made a ridiculous and sympathetic declaration about the Nazis.

Amid the tariff chaos he spurred, Trump met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Oval Office Monday, where he was asked by reporters about his plan to bring about the release of the 59 Israeli hostages being held captive in Gaza by Hamas.

In typical Trump fashion, the president dodged the question and went on a bizarre rant that seemingly remembered Nazis for … their sympathy.

“I said to them, was there any sign of love?” Trump said, recounting his conversation with released hostages.

“Did the, Hamas, show any signs of like, help? Or liking you? Did they wink? Did they give you a piece of bread extra? Did they give you a meal on the side? … Like, you know, what happened in Germany?” Trump said, absurdly comparing the hostages’ situation to the Holocaust, which murdered six million Jews.

“People would try and help people that were in unbelievable distress,” the president went on, suggesting that the Nazis were known for their generosity.

“No, they didn’t do that, they’d slap us,” Trump said the hostages told him about Hamas, while sitting next to the man who is currently leading Israel’s genocide in Gaza. “Their hatred is unbelievable.”

Trump’s claim about Nazi kindness sent people reeling on social media.

“This isn’t just delusional. It’s Holocaust cosplay. He’s romanticizing genocide like it’s a fucking history podcast,” one user wrote on X.

“Equating hostages held by Hamas to victims in Nazi Germany isn’t just offensive, it’s also a grotesque distortion of history,” wrote another. “He’s always saying the first thing that pops into his head without understanding the weight of those words. And he’s sitting next to Israeli Prime Minister. Crazy stuff!”

Overheard

If Jeffrey Goldberg is a "deceitful and highly-discredited so-called journalist" they wouldn't have added him into the group chat.

The Daddy State Rules:

1. Every accusation is a confession.

2. Every boast is an admission of inadequacy, or an attempt to claim credit for something they had practically nothing to do with.

2a. What sounds like boasting ("I could shoot someone on 5th Avenue and not lose any votes") is intended to soft-peddle some horrific thing they've done - or intend to do, in which case, the "boast" is instructive as to what the devotees will be expected to embrace.

3. Every prediction of some dire consequence is a veiled threat.

Whatever terrible thing they're "warning" us about is something they intend to make happen (often in an attempt to coerce us into doing something they want), or to signal and motivate their mob.

4. They change the meaning of words to suit their needs.

a) if it's false but it works in my favor, then it's true

b) if it's true but it works against me, then it's false

5. They change the historical record.

“you didn’t see me do what you saw me doing"

“you didn't hear me say what you heard me saying”

6. Total criminalization.

If we're all guilty, then you can't hold me responsible without the risk of exposing your own culpability.

7. The law is my sword, but not your shield.

7a. The law is my shield, but not your sword.

8. Divide and Conquer is the order of the day, every day.

Every issue is a wedge issue to be used as a means of putting each of us in our own little silo - keeping us all isolated - separated from each other.

Happening

I haven't vetted this, but there's nothing obvious that makes me think it's not real.

We know this kind of shit is happening, so it's not unreasonable to believe this story.

I just wanna shoot some of these assholes.

His neighbor got detained by ICE and if you don’t think thats „insane“, just listen to what he gotta say:
byu/Morgentau7 inThatsInsane

Step By Step

Closer and closer to full blown Daddy State.

The American justice system was set up in such a way that we'd be OK with letting a couple of bad guys slip thru the cracks in order to protect the rights of everybody else.

Maybe we have to let 100 bad guys get away with shit, so 335,000,000 good guys don't have to worry about being disappeared into a shithole prison in El Salvador without so much as a fuckin' phone call.

What the fuck are we doing?

The kicker, of course - the great potential tragedy - is that we've let Trump get away with shit, and now we get to see what Payment Due really looks like.

What Are They Talking About?

They won't be pinned down on anything, because moving the goalpost is their stock-in-trade - reality is according to edict from the boss.

Daddy State Awareness

• The Daddy State lies as a means of demonstrating power.
• The lies have practically nothing to do with the subject of the lies.
• Lying about everything creates chaos, which helps condition us to stop thinking, and look to them for "guidance".
• Once we're totally dependent on them, we'll accept the premise that they can do anything they want.

The goal is to destroy reality

so they can dictate

their version of reality to us

Mary Trump

Concentration camps.

Trump's Plans

A concentration camp is a concentration camp is a concentration camp.

Trump confirms plans to use military for mass deportations

President-elect Trump confirmed Monday that he is planning to declare a national emergency and use the U.S. military to carry out mass deportations.

Why it matters:

Trump made his promise to deport millions of undocumented immigrants one of the cornerstones of his 2024 campaign, and his team has already begun strategizing how to carry its plan out.

Driving the news:

Tom Fitton, the president of the conservative group Judicial Watch, posted on Truth Social earlier this month that Trump was "prepared to declare a national emergency and will use military assets to reverse the Biden invasion through a mass deportation program."

Trump reposted Fitton's comment Monday with the caption, "TRUE!!"

The big picture:

There are an estimated 11 million undocumented immigrants living in the U.S. Trump's mass deportations are expected to impact roughly 20 million families across the country.

Immigration advocates and lawyers are preparing to counter the plan in court.

The president-elect's team is aiming to craft executive orders that can withstand legal challenges to avoid a similar defeat that befell Trump's Muslim ban in his first term, Politico reported.

Their plans also include ending the parole program for undocumented immigrants from Cuba, Haiti, Nicaragua and Venezuela, per Politico.

Zoom out:

Trump has also already begun filling out his Cabinet positions with immigration hardliners.

This includes tapping Tom Homan, the former acting head of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), to serve as his "border czar."

In addition, Trump nominated South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem as his secretary of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS).

Today's Vic

Two great points:

1. If I flake off, it means the bad guys will have more goons to send after you
2. My obligation as a citizen doesn't end just because my side lost an election

Timothy Snyder's "On Tyranny" - here's the outline:

1. Do not obey in advance. Much of the power of authoritarianism is freely given. In times like these, individuals think ahead about what a more repressive government will want, and then start to do it without being asked. You've already done this, haven't you? Stop. Anticipatory obedience teaches authorities what is possible and accelerates unfreedom.
2. Defend an institution. Follow the courts or the media, or a court or a newspaper. Do not speak of “our institutions” unless you are making them yours by acting on their behalf. Institutions don't protect themselves. They go down like dominoes unless each is defended from the beginning.
3. Recall professional ethics. When the leaders of state set a negative example, professional commitments to just practice become much more important. It is hard to break a rule-of-law state without lawyers, and it is hard to have show trials without judges.
4. When listening to politicians, distinguish certain words. Look out for the expansive use of “terrorism” and “extremism.” Be alive to the fatal notions of “exception” and “emergency.” Be angry about the treacherous use of patriotic vocabulary.
5. Be calm when the unthinkable arrives. When the terrorist attack comes, remember that all authoritarians at all times either await or plan such events in order to consolidate power. Think of the Reichstag fire. The sudden disaster that requires the end of the balance of power, the end of opposition parties, and so on, is the oldest trick in the Hitlerian book. Don't fall for it.
6. Be kind to our language. Avoid pronouncing the phrases everyone else does. Think up your own way of speaking, even if only to convey that thing you think everyone is saying. (Don't use the Internet before bed. Charge your gadgets away from your bedroom, and read.) What to read? Perhaps The Power of the Powerless by Václav Havel, 1984 by George Orwell, The Captive Mind by Czesław Milosz, The Rebel by Albert Camus, The Origins of Totalitarianism by Hannah Arendt, or Nothing is True and Everything is Possible by Peter Pomerantsev.
7. Stand out. Someone has to. It is easy, in words and deeds, to follow along. It can feel strange to do or say something different. But without that unease, there is no freedom. And the moment you set an example, the spell of the status quo is broken, and others will follow.
8. Believe in truth. To abandon facts is to abandon freedom. If nothing is true, then no one can criticize power because there is no basis upon which to do so. If nothing is true, then all is spectacle. The biggest wallet pays for the most blinding lights.
9. Investigate. Figure things out for yourself. Spend more time with long articles. Subsidize investigative journalism by subscribing to print media. Realize that some of what is on your screen is there to harm you. Learn about sites that investigate foreign propaganda pushes.
10. Practice corporeal politics. Power wants your body softening in your chair and your emotions dissipating on the screen. Get outside. Put your body in unfamiliar places with unfamiliar people. Make new friends and march with them.
11. Make eye contact and small talk. This is not just polite. It is a way to stay in touch with your surroundings, break down unnecessary social barriers, and come to understand whom you should and should not trust. If we enter a culture of denunciation, you will want to know the psychological landscape of your daily life.
12. Take responsibility for the face of the world. Notice the swastikas and the other signs of hate. Do not look away and do not get used to them. Remove them yourself and set an example for others to do so.
13. Hinder the one-party state. The parties that took over states were once something else. They exploited a historical moment to make political life impossible for their rivals. Vote in local and state elections while you can.
14. Give regularly to good causes, if you can. Pick a charity and set up autopay. Then you will know that you have made a free choice that is supporting civil society helping others doing something good.
15. Establish a private life. Nastier rulers will use what they know about you to push you around. Scrub your computer of malware. Remember that email is skywriting. Consider using alternative forms of the Internet, or simply using it less. Have personal exchanges in person. For the same reason, resolve any legal trouble. Authoritarianism works as a blackmail state, looking for the hook on which to hang you. Try not to have too many hooks.
16. Learn from others in other countries. Keep up your friendships abroad, or make new friends abroad. The present difficulties here are an element of a general trend. And no country is going to find a solution by itself. Make sure you and your family have passports.
17. Watch out for the paramilitaries. When the men with guns who have always claimed to be against the system start wearing uniforms and marching around with torches and pictures of a Leader, the end is nigh. When the pro-Leader paramilitary and the official police and military intermingle, the game is over.
18. Be reflective if you must be armed. If you carry a weapon in public service, God bless you and keep you. But know that evils of the past involved policemen and soldiers finding themselves, one day, doing irregular things. Be ready to say no. (If you do not know what this means, contact the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum and ask about training in professional ethics.)
19. Be as courageous as you can. If none of us is prepared to die for freedom, then all of us will die in unfreedom.
20. Be a patriot. President Trump is not. Set a good example of what America means for the generations to come. They will need it.

Today's Keith

If this isn't Peak Daddy State, then my suspicions are validated - there's no bottom they can't get under, and no top they won't tear down to get over.

ie: Voters don't believe Trump will do the shitty things he's said he'll do because they don't believe he has the core principles he needs to make good on his promises.

So, it's his untrustworthiness that makes him trustworthy.

And don't say things like "Make it make sense", and then shrug and go back to watching your shows.

Stop that shit.

It doesn't make sense because it's not supposed to make sense.

These Prison Stocks Soar Again On Trump's Hardline Border Move

Geo Group (GEO) and CoreCivic (CXW) surged again on Monday after a huge rally last week spurred by earnings and elections. CoreCivic stock and Geo stock extended gains after President-elect Donald Trump picked immigration hardliner Tom Homan as his top border official.

Border Pick Homan A Hardline Immigration Official

Homan previously was head of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) during Trump's first term. Trump said Sunday that Homan would lead the "deportation of illegal aliens" in his new administration starting Jan. 20, after vowing a mass deportation of undocumented migrants on the campaign trail.

"I've known Tom for a long time, and there is nobody better at policing and controlling our borders," Trump said on the Trump Media majority-owned social media platform TruthSocial.

Geo stock and CoreCivic also surged after Trump's first U.S. presidential election win. They broke out to highs last week after his second victory, scoring one of their best weekly gains since November 2016.

Investors seemed to bet — again – that a Trump-led White House would detain more undocumented migrants in the company's facilities.

Solid earnings last week also helped the prison operators.

Shares of Geo Group and CoreCivic surged 8% and 10%, respectively, in Monday's stock market action.

CoreCivic stock scored a 29% election and earnings breakaway gap last Wednesday. It jumped above a 16.54 buy point in the biggest volume since shares began to consolidate in June, MarketSurge shows. The prison stock soared nearly 88% last week before paring the weekly gain to 69%.

Last Wednesday, Geo shares broke out in sympathy. Geo stock extended gains from the 16.47 cup-with-handle entry amid its own earnings report on Thursday. It skyrocketed almost 76% last week.

Geo Group Earnings, CoreCivic Earnings

Last week, prison and detention operators GEO Group and CoreCivic diverged on outlook after reporting strong third-quarter earnings.

CoreCivic revealed last Wednesday that it earned 19 cents per share, more than double estimates for 9 cents. The company hiked its full-year 2024 guidance for adjusted funds from operations for 2024 to $1.59-$1.65 per share — from $1.48-$1.56 — after Q3 occupancy grew from 72% to 75%. Analysts expected adjusted funds from operations of $1.49 a share, according to FactSet.

Geo Group last Thursday posted its first earnings gain after eight quarters of declines, FactSet shows. But the company missed views. Geo said it is now targeting full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA of $470 million-$480 million, down from $485 million-$505 million previously. Analysts expect $488.2 million.

Prison Stocks Soared After 2016 Trump Win

In 2016, private prison stocks galloped ahead after Trump's first presidential election win.

Geo Group, which owns, leases and manages correctional facilities, advanced 107% in the three months after the election. Rival CoreCivic rose 149% in the same three-month period.

Many investors credited Trump's win for the initial rally in the prison stocks. Trump vowed to crack down on crime and illegal immigration, and private prisons and detention centers were seemingly one answer to overcrowding.

This was a sharp reversal from former President Barack Obama's order to phase out private prisons. In February 2017, then Attorney General Jeff Sessions turned the green light back on for private prisons.

Much has changed since then. The two main prison stocks quickly saw gains from the first Trump victory evaporate.

Both Geo stock and CoreCivic languished for much of the past year before breaking out to highs this week amid the elections and earnings.

The Trump Way

"Improve your morale or the beatings will continue."

Go to California, and shit-talk the whole place - and then:

• Tell the auto workers you're going to ship their jobs to Michigan
• Threaten FEMA money for wildfires if the governor doesn't kiss Trump's ass
• etc

This is typical of how "conservatives" have been trying to do things for a very long time.

• Kick people until they fall down
• Once people are down, tell them it's their own fault, and kick them some more
• If they're still down after a generation or two, kick them harder

Today's Daddy State Thing

Daddy State Awareness Guide, Rule #3:

Every prediction of some dire consequence is a veiled threat.

Whatever terrible thing they're "warning" us about is something they intend to make happen (often in an attempt to coerce us into doing something they want), or to signal and motivate their mob.

"If she wins this election, we're not gonna have a country anymore."

Whoa Nelly

So Trump watches Harris and Walz dominate the coverage for 4 or 5 days, and he can't stand it, because it's not all about him. So he springs a "news conference" on everybody (including his own staff) that has (as usual) no substance at all, except that he has to point out that everything should always be all about him.

And he's bound and determined to make Walz out to be the bad guy during the 2020 George Floyd riots, but he can't - not for normal people anyway - because he spent a lot of time on the phone and elsewhere praising Gov Walz for doing what he did.

But of course that doesn't matter, because Trump has to pretend he never did what he did - he never said what he said: "What you saw and what you heard is not what you saw and what you heard."

Daddy State Awareness Guide, Rules 4 and 5:

4. They change the meaning of words to suit their needs.

a) if it's false but it works in my favor, then it's true

b) if it's true but it works against me, then it's false

5. They change the historical record.

“you didn’t see what you saw"

"what you saw happen isn’t what happened"

“you didn't hear me say what you heard me say”

It Is And It Ain't

... at the same time.

It's Schrodinger's GOP Platform.

Trump has repeatedly made statements very similar to what the Project 2025 playbook says.

But the Daddy State lies - all the time about everything - so when he feels the need, he claims he knows nothing about it at all.

Trump seeks to disavow 'Project 2025' despite ties to conservative group

July 5 (Reuters) - Former President Donald Trump tried to distance himself on Friday from a conservative group's sweeping plans for the next Republican presidency, days after its leader claimed a second American Revolution was underway that would "remain bloodless if the left allows it to be."

(Emphasis added)

The Republican presidential candidate renounced any connection with Project 2025, a plan Democrats have been attacking to highlight what they say is Trump's extreme policy agenda for a second term should he beat President Joe Biden in the Nov. 5 election.

Many people involved in the project lead by the Heritage Foundation, America's top conservative think tank, worked in the Trump White House and would likely help fill out his administration if he wins in November.

But Trump said on his Truth Social platform he had nothing to do with the plan.

"I know nothing about Project 2025. I have no idea who is behind it," he wrote.

"I disagree with some of the things they're saying," he continued, adding some of their assertions were "absolutely ridiculous and abysmal."

Trump's post came three days after Heritage Foundation president Kevin Roberts' comments on Steve Bannon's "War Room" podcast about a second American Revolution. Democrats and others criticized what they viewed as a veiled threat of violence.

In a statement provided by a Project 2025 spokesperson on Friday, Roberts repeated his claim that Americans were carrying out a revolution "to take power back from the elites and despotic bureaucrats" and said it was the political left that had a history of political violence.

The spokesperson said that while Project 2025 provided recommendations for the next Republican president, it would be up to Trump, should he win, to decide whether to implement them.

Trump's move to create distance with Project 2025 could in part reflect an effort to moderate his message in the final months of the race, especially with Biden's campaign faltering after the Democratic candidate's June 27 debate, said James Wallner, a political science professor at Clemson University.

"Trump is basically now seeking to appeal to a broader audience," Wallner said.

The Biden campaign has stepped up its efforts to tie Trump's campaign to Project 2025.
“Project 2025 is the extreme policy and personnel playbook for Trump’s second term that should scare the hell out of the American people," campaign spokesperson Ammar Moussa said in a statement.

The 900-page blueprint calls for drastic reform of the federal government, including a gutting of some federal agencies and a vast expansion of presidential power. Trump's statements and policy positions suggest he is aligned with some but not all of the project's agenda.

The plans have been drawn up by the Heritage Foundation in coordination with a collection of other like-minded groups.

A number of people who worked on Project 2025 have close ties to the former president. Russ Vought, who was Trump's director of the Office of Management and Budget and is heading up a key committee at the Republican National Convention, authored one of the project's chapters.

Stephen Miller, a former senior adviser to Trump who is widely expected to be tapped for a top job in a second Trump administration, heads up a legal group on Project 2025's advisory board.

Today's Exercise

Present certain thoughts or objects

possessing no value or relevance at all.

Toss one of these to the masses,

and as you watch them tear it

and each other to pieces

trying to find some hidden meaning,

then you know its purpose is fulfilled.

You Knew It Had T Be

It doesn't matter what the "issue" is - or the details - or the circumstances - or the players. Whatever the outcome, MAGA is going to twist it and spin it and wring it out, until it's something totally unrecognizable by any normal human with a living thinking brain.

So we're back to Coach Asbury and the lesson of the short pass.

Today's Beau

It just kinda drifted by a few days ago, and I didn't make much of it - not like I should've done.

But let's make a note of it. Even though it won't make much difference to the rubes, this is something we should make sure the "independents" are aware of.

It's another example of the Daddy State strategy of keeping people in thrall to the point where they can scream about the total terribleness of something one day, and make a u-turn the next day, claiming exactly the opposite.

Welcome To My Swamp

Daddy State Awareness

• The Daddy State lies as a means of demonstrating power.
• The lies have practically nothing to do with the subject of the lies.
• Lying about everything creates chaos, which helps condition us to stop thinking, and look to them for "guidance".
• Once we're totally dependent on them, we'll accept the premise that they can do anything they want.

The goal is to dictate reality to us.

In true Daddy State fashion, Trump has reversed course, and is now calling on the faithful to do all that Fraudulent Voting Stuff he's been railing against for nearly a decade.

What we should be especially alert to is Trump (prob'ly at the direction of Mike Flynn) pulling the standard School Of The Americas shit they taught Noriega to do.

1. Fuck up the election
2. Point at the fucked up election
3. Say, "Oh look - the election is fucked up"
4. Look for and capitalize on whatever opportunity arises from the chaos